Recent polling averages show a tight contest for Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, with Ashley Hinson holding a modest edge consistent with the state's Republican lean since Donald Trump's 2024 victory there. Hinson, a sitting U.S. representative endorsed by Trump, benefits from stronger fundraising, party infrastructure, and name recognition following her primary win, while Democrat Josh Turek, a state representative and Paralympic athlete who defeated a better-known primary opponent, has demonstrated appeal among independents and in targeted surveys. The race remains competitive due to the absence of an incumbent and mixed early fall polling results, with an October debate and November 3 general election still ahead. Trader pricing reflects these fundamentals, including Iowa's historical voting patterns and the candidates' relative resources.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Iowa
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Iowa
$325,834 Vol.
$325,834 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
56%
Josh Turek (D)
44%
$325,834 Vol.
$325,834 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Ashley Hinson (R)
$168,650 Vol.
56%
Josh Turek (D)
$157,184 Vol.
44%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages show a tight contest for Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, with Ashley Hinson holding a modest edge consistent with the state's Republican lean since Donald Trump's 2024 victory there. Hinson, a sitting U.S. representative endorsed by Trump, benefits from stronger fundraising, party infrastructure, and name recognition following her primary win, while Democrat Josh Turek, a state representative and Paralympic athlete who defeated a better-known primary opponent, has demonstrated appeal among independents and in targeted surveys. The race remains competitive due to the absence of an incumbent and mixed early fall polling results, with an October debate and November 3 general election still ahead. Trader pricing reflects these fundamentals, including Iowa's historical voting patterns and the candidates' relative resources.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ET
Volumen
$325,834Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Recent polling averages show a tight contest for Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, with Ashley Hinson holding a modest edge consistent with the state's Republican lean since Donald Trump's 2024 victory there. Hinson, a sitting U.S. representative endorsed by Trump, benefits from stronger fundraising, party infrastructure, and name recognition following her primary win, while Democrat Josh Turek, a state representative and Paralympic athlete who defeated a better-known primary opponent, has demonstrated appeal among independents and in targeted surveys. The race remains competitive due to the absence of an incumbent and mixed early fall polling results, with an October debate and November 3 general election still ahead. Trader pricing reflects these fundamentals, including Iowa's historical voting patterns and the candidates' relative resources.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Iowa U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$325,834Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:31 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling averages show a tight contest for Iowa's open U.S. Senate seat, with Ashley Hinson holding a modest edge consistent with the state's Republican lean since Donald Trump's 2024 victory there. Hinson, a sitting U.S. representative endorsed by Trump, benefits from stronger fundraising, party infrastructure, and name recognition following her primary win, while Democrat Josh Turek, a state representative and Paralympic athlete who defeated a better-known primary opponent, has demonstrated appeal among independents and in targeted surveys. The race remains competitive due to the absence of an incumbent and mixed early fall polling results, with an October debate and November 3 general election still ahead. Trader pricing reflects these fundamentals, including Iowa's historical voting patterns and the candidates' relative resources.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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