Incumbent Roger Marshall holds a strong position in Kansas's Republican-leaning electorate ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the state's long history of GOP Senate dominance and his primary victory over minimal opposition. Recent polling shows a narrower contest, with aggregates placing Marshall ahead by roughly 3 points amid some national Democratic momentum, though forecasters continue to rate the race as likely or lean Republican. Adam Hamilton's Democratic primary win and record fundraising have drawn attention and tightened margins in surveys, yet structural barriers including voter registration advantages and low historical crossover support limit his prospects. Traders appear to weigh these fundamentals more heavily than short-term polling volatility or campaign events.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Kansas
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Kansas
$54,237 Vol.
$54,237 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Roger Marshall (R)
75%
Adam Hamilton (D)
24%
$54,237 Vol.
$54,237 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Roger Marshall (R)
$34,532 Vol.
75%
Adam Hamilton (D)
$19,705 Vol.
24%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Roger Marshall holds a strong position in Kansas's Republican-leaning electorate ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the state's long history of GOP Senate dominance and his primary victory over minimal opposition. Recent polling shows a narrower contest, with aggregates placing Marshall ahead by roughly 3 points amid some national Democratic momentum, though forecasters continue to rate the race as likely or lean Republican. Adam Hamilton's Democratic primary win and record fundraising have drawn attention and tightened margins in surveys, yet structural barriers including voter registration advantages and low historical crossover support limit his prospects. Traders appear to weigh these fundamentals more heavily than short-term polling volatility or campaign events.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volumen
$54,237Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Incumbent Roger Marshall holds a strong position in Kansas's Republican-leaning electorate ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the state's long history of GOP Senate dominance and his primary victory over minimal opposition. Recent polling shows a narrower contest, with aggregates placing Marshall ahead by roughly 3 points amid some national Democratic momentum, though forecasters continue to rate the race as likely or lean Republican. Adam Hamilton's Democratic primary win and record fundraising have drawn attention and tightened margins in surveys, yet structural barriers including voter registration advantages and low historical crossover support limit his prospects. Traders appear to weigh these fundamentals more heavily than short-term polling volatility or campaign events.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Kansas U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$54,237Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Roger Marshall holds a strong position in Kansas's Republican-leaning electorate ahead of the November 3 general election, reflecting the state's long history of GOP Senate dominance and his primary victory over minimal opposition. Recent polling shows a narrower contest, with aggregates placing Marshall ahead by roughly 3 points amid some national Democratic momentum, though forecasters continue to rate the race as likely or lean Republican. Adam Hamilton's Democratic primary win and record fundraising have drawn attention and tightened margins in surveys, yet structural barriers including voter registration advantages and low historical crossover support limit his prospects. Traders appear to weigh these fundamentals more heavily than short-term polling volatility or campaign events.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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