Luciano Zucco (PL) leads the Rio Grande do Sul governor race in the latest Real Time Big Data survey with 36% to Juliana Brizola’s (PDT) 35% in the first round, within the margin of error, while Gabriel Souza (MDB) trails at 22%. The contest remains closely contested ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff, with both frontrunners drawing strong support from their respective ideological bases and coalitions. Zucco benefits from right-leaning consolidation and emphasis on state debt renegotiation, flood recovery funding, and federal ties, while Brizola leverages her PDT-PT alliance and focus on social issues. Souza’s distant third-place standing reflects limited momentum despite incumbent backing. These polling trends and campaign positioning underpin traders’ current assessment of Zucco’s stronger implied probability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoLuciano Zucco 57%
Juliana Brizola 32%
Gabriel Souza 2.8%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
$102,849 Vol.
$102,849 Vol.
3 oct 2026
Luciano Zucco
57%
Juliana Brizola
32%
Gabriel Souza
3%
Marcelo Maranata
1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
<1%
Luciano Zucco 57%
Juliana Brizola 32%
Gabriel Souza 2.8%
Marcelo Maranata <1%
$102,849 Vol.
$102,849 Vol.
3 oct 2026
Luciano Zucco
$46,599 Vol.
57%
Juliana Brizola
$35,625 Vol.
32%
Gabriel Souza
$10,508 Vol.
3%
Marcelo Maranata
$7,151 Vol.
1%
Luis Carlos Heinze
$2,966 Vol.
<1%
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Luciano Zucco (PL) leads the Rio Grande do Sul governor race in the latest Real Time Big Data survey with 36% to Juliana Brizola’s (PDT) 35% in the first round, within the margin of error, while Gabriel Souza (MDB) trails at 22%. The contest remains closely contested ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff, with both frontrunners drawing strong support from their respective ideological bases and coalitions. Zucco benefits from right-leaning consolidation and emphasis on state debt renegotiation, flood recovery funding, and federal ties, while Brizola leverages her PDT-PT alliance and focus on social issues. Souza’s distant third-place standing reflects limited momentum despite incumbent backing. These polling trends and campaign positioning underpin traders’ current assessment of Zucco’s stronger implied probability.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ET
Volumen
$102,849Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Luciano Zucco (PL) leads the Rio Grande do Sul governor race in the latest Real Time Big Data survey with 36% to Juliana Brizola’s (PDT) 35% in the first round, within the margin of error, while Gabriel Souza (MDB) trails at 22%. The contest remains closely contested ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff, with both frontrunners drawing strong support from their respective ideological bases and coalitions. Zucco benefits from right-leaning consolidation and emphasis on state debt renegotiation, flood recovery funding, and federal ties, while Brizola leverages her PDT-PT alliance and focus on social issues. Souza’s distant third-place standing reflects limited momentum despite incumbent backing. These polling trends and campaign positioning underpin traders’ current assessment of Zucco’s stronger implied probability.
The Rio Grande do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$102,849Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026Mercado abierto
May 28, 2026, 5:40 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Luciano Zucco (PL) leads the Rio Grande do Sul governor race in the latest Real Time Big Data survey with 36% to Juliana Brizola’s (PDT) 35% in the first round, within the margin of error, while Gabriel Souza (MDB) trails at 22%. The contest remains closely contested ahead of the October 4 first round and possible October 25 runoff, with both frontrunners drawing strong support from their respective ideological bases and coalitions. Zucco benefits from right-leaning consolidation and emphasis on state debt renegotiation, flood recovery funding, and federal ties, while Brizola leverages her PDT-PT alliance and focus on social issues. Souza’s distant third-place standing reflects limited momentum despite incumbent backing. These polling trends and campaign positioning underpin traders’ current assessment of Zucco’s stronger implied probability.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes