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icon for Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Mato Grosso do Sul
Política·Brasil

Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Mato Grosso do Sul

icon for Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Mato Grosso do Sul
Política·Brasil

Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Mato Grosso do Sul

Eduardo Riedel 93%

Delcidio Amaral 5%

Economista Renato Gomes 2.2%

João Henrique Catan 1.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Eduardo Riedel 93%

Delcidio Amaral 5%

Economista Renato Gomes 2.2%

João Henrique Catan 1.0%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Eduardo Riedel

Eduardo Riedel

$1,613 Vol.

93%

icon for Delcidio Amaral

Delcidio Amaral

$216 Vol.

5%

icon for Economista Renato Gomes

Economista Renato Gomes

$247 Vol.

2%

icon for João Henrique Catan

João Henrique Catan

$173 Vol.

1%

icon for Jeferson Bezerra

Jeferson Bezerra

$193 Vol.

1%

icon for Fábio Trad

Fábio Trad

$203 Vol.

1%

icon for Daniel Lemes

Daniel Lemes

$176 Vol.

<1%

icon for Lucien Rezende

Lucien Rezende

$196 Vol.

<1%

The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Riedel, the incumbent governor of Mato Grosso do Sul running under the PP banner, holds a commanding lead in recent state polling, including 44% in first-round scenarios and 54% against main challenger Fábio Trad (PT) in simulated runoffs, per August 2026 surveys from Real Time Big Data and Ranking Brasil. Traders reflect this through his 94.5% implied probability, driven by incumbency advantages, sustained approval ratings around 67%, and limited opposition fragmentation ahead of the October 4 first round. Key supporting dynamics include Riedel's established alliances and governance record since his 2022 victory. Potential shifts could arise from major late-campaign scandals, significant economic downturns in agribusiness-dependent sectors, or unexpected opposition consolidation that narrows his margins below historical re-election thresholds for sitting Brazilian state executives.

The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$3,017
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Eduardo Riedel, the incumbent governor of Mato Grosso do Sul running under the PP banner, holds a commanding lead in recent state polling, including 44% in first-round scenarios and 54% against main challenger Fábio Trad (PT) in simulated runoffs, per August 2026 surveys from Real Time Big Data and Ranking Brasil. Traders reflect this through his 94.5% implied probability, driven by incumbency advantages, sustained approval ratings around 67%, and limited opposition fragmentation ahead of the October 4 first round. Key supporting dynamics include Riedel's established alliances and governance record since his 2022 victory. Potential shifts could arise from major late-campaign scandals, significant economic downturns in agribusiness-dependent sectors, or unexpected opposition consolidation that narrows his margins below historical re-election thresholds for sitting Brazilian state executives.

The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.

If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$3,017
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 5:33 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Mato Grosso do Sul gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election. Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Mato Grosso do Sul" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 8 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Eduardo Riedel" con 93%, seguido de "Delcidio Amaral" con 5%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 93¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Mato Grosso do Sul" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Mato Grosso do Sul", explora los 8 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Mato Grosso do Sul" es "Eduardo Riedel" con 93%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 93% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Delcidio Amaral" con 5%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones al gobernador de Mato Grosso do Sul" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.