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icon for Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar

icon for Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar

Reinaldo Azambuja 64%

Beto do Movimento 24%

Vander Loubet 22%

Valderi Garcia 21%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Reinaldo Azambuja 64%

Beto do Movimento 24%

Vander Loubet 22%

Valderi Garcia 21%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Reinaldo Azambuja

Reinaldo Azambuja

$107 Vol.

64%

icon for Beto do Movimento

Beto do Movimento

$21 Vol.

24%

icon for Vander Loubet

Vander Loubet

$21 Vol.

22%

icon for Valderi Garcia

Valderi Garcia

$21 Vol.

21%

icon for Soraya

Soraya

$21 Vol.

19%

icon for Daniel Junior

Daniel Junior

$21 Vol.

19%

icon for Capitão Contar

Capitão Contar

$21 Vol.

15%

icon for Roberto Oshiro

Roberto Oshiro

$92 Vol.

7%

icon for Valter da Comagran

Valter da Comagran

$90 Vol.

7%

icon for Luiz Lemes

Luiz Lemes

$42 Vol.

7%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Mato Grosso do Sul shows a fragmented field for the two Senate seats, with Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) registering the highest support in surveys from early August but facing competition from Capitão Contar (PL), Vander Loubet (PT), Soraya Thronicke (PSB), and others. Candidate registration closed on August 15, 2026, confirming a broad slate that includes established names and smaller-party contenders. This setup, combined with voter preferences split across parties and limited name recognition for some entrants, sustains close implied probabilities in trader assessments. Upcoming campaign events, alliance negotiations, and further surveys could shift momentum toward clearer separation among the top vote-getters before October.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$457
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polling in Mato Grosso do Sul shows a fragmented field for the two Senate seats, with Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) registering the highest support in surveys from early August but facing competition from Capitão Contar (PL), Vander Loubet (PT), Soraya Thronicke (PSB), and others. Candidate registration closed on August 15, 2026, confirming a broad slate that includes established names and smaller-party contenders. This setup, combined with voter preferences split across parties and limited name recognition for some entrants, sustains close implied probabilities in trader assessments. Upcoming campaign events, alliance negotiations, and further surveys could shift momentum toward clearer separation among the top vote-getters before October.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$457
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Relacionado

icon for ¿Capitán Contar obtendrá la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en la elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul de 2026?

¿Capitán Contar obtendrá la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en la elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul de 2026?

42%
Sí
icon for ¿Ganará el profesor Nelson Ferreira la mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Mato Grosso de 2026?

¿Ganará el profesor Nelson Ferreira la mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Mato Grosso de 2026?

41%
Sí
icon for ¿Obtendrá Fávaro la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Mato Grosso de 2026?

¿Obtendrá Fávaro la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Mato Grosso de 2026?

24%
Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Reinaldo Azambuja" con 64%, seguido de "Beto do Movimento" con 25%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 64¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 64% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar" es "Reinaldo Azambuja" con 64%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 64% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Beto do Movimento" con 25%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 1er lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.