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icon for Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 2do Lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 2do Lugar

icon for Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 2do Lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 2do Lugar

Luiz Lemes 44%

Valter da Comagran 44%

Capitán Contar 36%

Daniel Junior 26%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Luiz Lemes 44%

Valter da Comagran 44%

Capitán Contar 36%

Daniel Junior 26%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Luiz Lemes

Luiz Lemes

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Valter da Comagran

Valter da Comagran

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Capitán Contar

Capitán Contar

$140 Vol.

36%

icon for Daniel Junior

Daniel Junior

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Reinaldo Azambuja

Reinaldo Azambuja

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Soraya

Soraya

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Valderi Garcia

Valderi Garcia

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Roberto Oshiro

Roberto Oshiro

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for Beto do Movimento

Beto do Movimento

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for Vander Loubet

Vander Loubet

$0 Vol.

24%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for Mato Grosso do Sul's two Senate seats show Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) consistently leading first-preference voting, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among Capitão Contar (PL), Vander Loubet, Soraya Thronicke, and several others. August surveys place Contar ahead of the pack for the remaining slot but with margins narrow enough that no single challenger has separated decisively. Voter ability to select two candidates, combined with late registration deadlines and ongoing party alliances, sustains this distribution of probabilities. Further separation ahead of the October 4 vote would likely require stronger turnout data, additional polling waves, or visible shifts in PL internal coordination and opposition consolidation.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$140
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Recent polls for Mato Grosso do Sul's two Senate seats show Reinaldo Azambuja (PL) consistently leading first-preference voting, leaving a fragmented contest for second place among Capitão Contar (PL), Vander Loubet, Soraya Thronicke, and several others. August surveys place Contar ahead of the pack for the remaining slot but with margins narrow enough that no single challenger has separated decisively. Voter ability to select two candidates, combined with late registration deadlines and ongoing party alliances, sustains this distribution of probabilities. Further separation ahead of the October 4 vote would likely require stronger turnout data, additional polling waves, or visible shifts in PL internal coordination and opposition consolidation.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$140
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:02 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Mato Grosso do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

Relacionado

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¿Obtendrá Jose Medeiros la segunda mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Mato Grosso de 2026?

27%
Sí
icon for ¿Reinaldo Azambuja obtendrá la mayor cantidad de votos en la elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul en 2026?

¿Reinaldo Azambuja obtendrá la mayor cantidad de votos en la elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul en 2026?

66%
Sí
icon for ¿Mauro Mendes obtendrá la mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Mato Grosso de 2026?

¿Mauro Mendes obtendrá la mayor cantidad de votos en las elecciones al Senado de Mato Grosso de 2026?

50%
Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 2do Lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 10 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Luiz Lemes" con 45%, seguido de "Valter da Comagran" con 44%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 2do Lugar" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 2do Lugar", explora los 10 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 2do Lugar" es "Luiz Lemes" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Valter da Comagran" con 44%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elección al Senado de Mato Grosso do Sul: 2do Lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.