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Política·Primarias

AZ-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

icon for AZ-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas
Política·Primarias

AZ-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

Jay Feely 81%

Joseph Chaplik 9.7%

Muchelle Ugenti-Rita <1%

John Trobough <1%

Polymarket

$410,956 Vol.

Jay Feely 81%

Joseph Chaplik 9.7%

Muchelle Ugenti-Rita <1%

John Trobough <1%

Polymarket

$410,956 Vol.

Jay Feely

$8,375 Vol.

81%

Joseph Chaplik

$10,523 Vol.

10%

Muchelle Ugenti-Rita

$5,229 Vol.

1%

John Trobough

$3,771 Vol.

1%

Jason Duey

$3,237 Vol.

1%

Matt Gress

$48,954 Vol.

<1%

Brandon Sowers

$11,493 Vol.

<1%

Derrick Gallego

$3,916 Vol.

<1%

Todd Graham

$8,069 Vol.

<1%

Kari Lake

$7,333 Vol.

<1%

Gina Swoboda

$5,058 Vol.

<1%

Mark Brnovich

$61,576 Vol.

<1%

Kaitlin Purrington

$10,187 Vol.

<1%

Paul Reevs

$223,235 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jay Feely holds a commanding position in the Arizona 1st Congressional District Republican primary, scheduled for July 21, 2026, due to President Trump’s January endorsement and dominant early fundraising that exceeded $740,000 in the first quarter alone. As a former NFL kicker with statewide name recognition, Feely also secured National Republican Congressional Committee backing through its MAGA Majority program, consolidating support in an open-seat contest after incumbent David Schweikert shifted to the gubernatorial race. A fragmented field including state lawmaker Joseph Chaplik and technology executive John Trobough has limited any single challenger’s ability to consolidate opposition. Recent exchanges, including Feely’s May accusations against Chaplik over remarks involving Haitian family members, have further highlighted divisions without altering the overall consensus reflected in current trader pricing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$410,956
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Jay Feely holds a commanding position in the Arizona 1st Congressional District Republican primary, scheduled for July 21, 2026, due to President Trump’s January endorsement and dominant early fundraising that exceeded $740,000 in the first quarter alone. As a former NFL kicker with statewide name recognition, Feely also secured National Republican Congressional Committee backing through its MAGA Majority program, consolidating support in an open-seat contest after incumbent David Schweikert shifted to the gubernatorial race. A fragmented field including state lawmaker Joseph Chaplik and technology executive John Trobough has limited any single challenger’s ability to consolidate opposition. Recent exchanges, including Feely’s May accusations against Chaplik over remarks involving Haitian family members, have further highlighted divisions without altering the overall consensus reflected in current trader pricing.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$410,956
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"AZ-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 14 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Jay Feely" con 81%, seguido de "Joseph Chaplik" con 10%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 81¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 81% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "AZ-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" ha generado $411K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "AZ-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas", explora los 14 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "AZ-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es "Jay Feely" con 81%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 81% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Joseph Chaplik" con 10%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "AZ-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.