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Política·Primarias

AZ-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

icon for AZ-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas
Política·Primarias

AZ-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

Jay Feely 77%

Joseph Chaplik 12.9%

Muchelle Ugenti-Rita <1%

John Trobough <1%

Polymarket

$424,650 Vol.

Jay Feely 77%

Joseph Chaplik 12.9%

Muchelle Ugenti-Rita <1%

John Trobough <1%

Polymarket

$424,650 Vol.

Jay Feely

$8,407 Vol.

77%

Joseph Chaplik

$10,601 Vol.

18%

Muchelle Ugenti-Rita

$5,231 Vol.

1%

John Trobough

$3,940 Vol.

1%

Jason Duey

$3,396 Vol.

1%

Brandon Sowers

$11,495 Vol.

<1%

Matt Gress

$48,962 Vol.

<1%

Todd Graham

$8,074 Vol.

<1%

Kari Lake

$7,617 Vol.

<1%

Derrick Gallego

$3,932 Vol.

<1%

Gina Swoboda

$5,092 Vol.

<1%

Kaitlin Purrington

$10,720 Vol.

<1%

Paul Reevs

$223,242 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trump's January 2026 endorsement has positioned former NFL kicker Jay Feely as the clear frontrunner in Arizona's 1st Congressional District Republican primary, scheduled for July 21. Feely's substantial fundraising edge, including over $725,000 raised plus personal loans, and his high name recognition have consolidated trader consensus around his 76.5% implied probability. State Representative Joseph Chaplik, who resigned his legislative seat in February to campaign full-time, holds the next position at 18.7% amid limited resources and an earlier internal poll showing him competitive. The remaining dozen candidates, including John Trobough, register under 1% each due to minimal visibility and organizational support in this open-seat contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$424,650
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Trump's January 2026 endorsement has positioned former NFL kicker Jay Feely as the clear frontrunner in Arizona's 1st Congressional District Republican primary, scheduled for July 21. Feely's substantial fundraising edge, including over $725,000 raised plus personal loans, and his high name recognition have consolidated trader consensus around his 76.5% implied probability. State Representative Joseph Chaplik, who resigned his legislative seat in February to campaign full-time, holds the next position at 18.7% amid limited resources and an earlier internal poll showing him competitive. The remaining dozen candidates, including John Trobough, register under 1% each due to minimal visibility and organizational support in this open-seat contest.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$424,650
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 5:19 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the AZ-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"AZ-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 14 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Jay Feely" con 77%, seguido de "Joseph Chaplik" con 18%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 77¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 77% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "AZ-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" ha generado $424.7K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "AZ-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas", explora los 14 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "AZ-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es "Jay Feely" con 77%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 77% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Joseph Chaplik" con 18%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "AZ-01 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.