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icon for M0-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas
Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

M0-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

icon for M0-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas
Política·Elecciones En EE. UU.

M0-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas

Ann Wagner 98.5%

Ryan Sheridan 1.0%

Brandon Wilkinson <1%

Elizabeth Sparks-Holmes <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Ann Wagner 98.5%

Ryan Sheridan 1.0%

Brandon Wilkinson <1%

Elizabeth Sparks-Holmes <1%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Ann Wagner

Ann Wagner

$5,023 Vol.

99%

icon for Ryan Sheridan

Ryan Sheridan

$562 Vol.

1%

icon for Brandon Wilkinson

Brandon Wilkinson

$554 Vol.

<1%

icon for Elizabeth Sparks-Holmes

Elizabeth Sparks-Holmes

$639 Vol.

<1%

icon for Peter Pfeifer

Peter Pfeifer

$550 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ann Wagner holds a commanding lead in the Missouri 2nd Congressional District Republican primary scheduled for August 4, 2026, reflecting her long tenure since 2013, substantial fundraising edge with over $4 million in cash on hand, and endorsements from groups such as Maggie’s List. Multiple challengers including Matthew Grant, Peter Pfeifer, Elizabeth Sparks-Holmes, Brandon Wilkinson, and Ryan Sheridan have filed, yet none have mounted significant public campaigns or raised comparable resources. The primary contest occurs in a solidly Republican-leaning district where Wagner has consistently secured renomination in prior cycles. Trader consensus prices the outcome near certainty absent unforeseen late developments such as a major scandal or withdrawal that could alter ballot dynamics before voting concludes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$7,328
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 6, 2026, 6:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Incumbent Ann Wagner holds a commanding lead in the Missouri 2nd Congressional District Republican primary scheduled for August 4, 2026, reflecting her long tenure since 2013, substantial fundraising edge with over $4 million in cash on hand, and endorsements from groups such as Maggie’s List. Multiple challengers including Matthew Grant, Peter Pfeifer, Elizabeth Sparks-Holmes, Brandon Wilkinson, and Ryan Sheridan have filed, yet none have mounted significant public campaigns or raised comparable resources. The primary contest occurs in a solidly Republican-leaning district where Wagner has consistently secured renomination in prior cycles. Trader consensus prices the outcome near certainty absent unforeseen late developments such as a major scandal or withdrawal that could alter ballot dynamics before voting concludes.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$7,328
Fecha de finalización
4 ago 2026
Mercado abierto
Jul 6, 2026, 6:06 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 4, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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Sí

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"M0-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Ann Wagner" con 99%, seguido de "Ryan Sheridan" con 1%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 99¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"M0-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Jul 6, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "M0-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "M0-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" es "Ann Wagner" con 99%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 99% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Ryan Sheridan" con 1%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "M0-02 Ganador de las primarias republicanas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.