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icon for Elección al Senado de Rio Grande do Sul: 2do Lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Rio Grande do Sul: 2do Lugar

icon for Elección al Senado de Rio Grande do Sul: 2do Lugar
Política·Brasil

Elección al Senado de Rio Grande do Sul: 2do Lugar

Renato Jaguarão 45%

Sanderson 44%

Rigotto 44%

Manuela D'Ávila 43%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Renato Jaguarão 45%

Sanderson 44%

Rigotto 44%

Manuela D'Ávila 43%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Renato Jaguarão

Renato Jaguarão

$20 Vol.

45%

icon for Sanderson

Sanderson

$20 Vol.

44%

icon for Rigotto

Rigotto

$20 Vol.

44%

icon for Manuela D'Ávila

Manuela D'Ávila

$20 Vol.

43%

icon for Marcel Van Hattem

Marcel Van Hattem

$20 Vol.

42%

icon for Pimenta

Pimenta

$20 Vol.

41%

icon for Frederico Antunes

Frederico Antunes

$20 Vol.

37%

icon for Milton Cardoso

Milton Cardoso

$20 Vol.

37%

icon for Ric Jones

Ric Jones

$59 Vol.

11%

icon for Luciano do MLB

Luciano do MLB

$101 Vol.

9%

icon for Daniela Mujeres Socialistas

Daniela Mujeres Socialistas

$71 Vol.

8%

icon for Regis Ethur

Regis Ethur

$87 Vol.

8%

icon for Tania Peres

Tania Peres

$280 Vol.

24%

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The open Senate race in Rio Grande do Sul for two seats on October 4, 2026, features no incumbents and a fragmented field of more than a dozen pre-candidates from parties including PT, PSOL, MDB, Novo, PL, PSDB, and Cidadania. Recent Genial/Quaest polling shows a technical tie among top contenders such as Manuela D'Ávila, Germano Rigotto, Paulo Pimenta, Marcel Van Hattem, and Ubiratan Sanderson, with first- and second-preference votes closely bunched in single digits to low teens. A July debate among eight pre-candidates highlighted shared themes like state debt and institutional issues without producing clear separation. Trader consensus on 2nd-place probabilities remains compressed because the multi-candidate structure and absence of dominant frontrunners keep outcomes highly sensitive to late shifts in alliances, turnout, and additional surveys.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$757
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).The open Senate race in Rio Grande do Sul for two seats on October 4, 2026, features no incumbents and a fragmented field of more than a dozen pre-candidates from parties including PT, PSOL, MDB, Novo, PL, PSDB, and Cidadania. Recent Genial/Quaest polling shows a technical tie among top contenders such as Manuela D'Ávila, Germano Rigotto, Paulo Pimenta, Marcel Van Hattem, and Ubiratan Sanderson, with first- and second-preference votes closely bunched in single digits to low teens. A July debate among eight pre-candidates highlighted shared themes like state debt and institutional issues without producing clear separation. Trader consensus on 2nd-place probabilities remains compressed because the multi-candidate structure and absence of dominant frontrunners keep outcomes highly sensitive to late shifts in alliances, turnout, and additional surveys.

The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.

Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.

If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Volumen
$757
Fecha de finalización
4 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 17, 2026, 6:15 AM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The Brazilian Federal Senate election for Rio Grande do Sul is scheduled to take place on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election. Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking. If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Elección al Senado de Rio Grande do Sul: 2do Lugar" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 13 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Renato Jaguarão" con 45%, seguido de "Sanderson" con 44%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Elección al Senado de Rio Grande do Sul: 2do Lugar" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 17, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Elección al Senado de Rio Grande do Sul: 2do Lugar", explora los 13 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Elección al Senado de Rio Grande do Sul: 2do Lugar" es "Renato Jaguarão" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Sanderson" con 44%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Elección al Senado de Rio Grande do Sul: 2do Lugar" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.