The crowded field and recent July polling keep the contest for second place in Rio de Janeiro’s Senate race tightly balanced, with Benedita da Silva (PT) atop surveys at 11-16% while a cluster of candidates including Marcelo Crivella, Waguinho (Republicanos), Mônica Benício (PSOL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Carlos Portinho (PL) sit within a few points of one another. Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential bid has opened space on the right, fragmenting support across parties and leaving name recognition and regional strongholds as key differentiators ahead of the October vote. Traders assign comparable probabilities to several contenders because no clear consolidation has occurred, and further shifts in alliances or late polling could reorder the middle of the pack before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoHelio Secco 34%
Luiz Eugenio 21%
Carlos Portinho 21%
André Monteiro 20%

Helio Secco
34%

Luiz Eugenio
21%

Carlos Portinho
21%

André Monteiro
20%

Marcelo Crivella
20%

Carlos Jordy
19%

Paula Falcão
19%

Luciano Mattos
19%

Marcos Dias
19%

Ó Clemente
19%

Waguinho
19%

Monica Benicio
18%

Pedro Paulo
20%

Benedita da Silva
19%

Vinicius Benevides
10%

Michelly Xavier
6%
Helio Secco 34%
Luiz Eugenio 21%
Carlos Portinho 21%
André Monteiro 20%

Helio Secco
34%

Luiz Eugenio
21%

Carlos Portinho
21%

André Monteiro
20%

Marcelo Crivella
20%

Carlos Jordy
19%

Paula Falcão
19%

Luciano Mattos
19%

Marcos Dias
19%

Ó Clemente
19%

Waguinho
19%

Monica Benicio
18%

Pedro Paulo
20%

Benedita da Silva
19%

Vinicius Benevides
10%

Michelly Xavier
6%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Mercado abierto: Aug 17, 2026, 6:13 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the second-most valid votes of any candidate at the specified election.
Candidates will be primarily ranked by order of valid votes won. If two or more candidates are tied for any position, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the candidates’ listed full names as they appear in this market. This market will resolve to the candidate that occupies the second-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
If the result of this election isn't definitively known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The crowded field and recent July polling keep the contest for second place in Rio de Janeiro’s Senate race tightly balanced, with Benedita da Silva (PT) atop surveys at 11-16% while a cluster of candidates including Marcelo Crivella, Waguinho (Republicanos), Mônica Benício (PSOL), Pedro Paulo (PSD), and Carlos Portinho (PL) sit within a few points of one another. Flávio Bolsonaro’s presidential bid has opened space on the right, fragmenting support across parties and leaving name recognition and regional strongholds as key differentiators ahead of the October vote. Traders assign comparable probabilities to several contenders because no clear consolidation has occurred, and further shifts in alliances or late polling could reorder the middle of the pack before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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