Maine’s 2026 Senate race pits long-serving Republican incumbent Susan Collins against Democratic nominee Graham Platner, an oyster farmer and veteran who secured the nomination after Governor Janet Mills withdrew in April. Recent polling from June shows a toss-up or narrow Platner edge in head-to-head matchups, reflecting Maine’s Democratic-leaning presidential results and Collins’ status as the state’s sole remaining Republican in Congress. Traders assign Democrats a 66.5% implied probability, consistent with the state’s partisan lean and the competitive positioning of an untested challenger against an incumbent who has historically built cross-party support through appropriations leadership. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts driven by primary aftermath, national political conditions, or candidate-specific developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones al Senado de Maine
Ganador de las elecciones al Senado de Maine
$520,079 Vol.
$520,079 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
67%
Republicano
35%
$520,079 Vol.
$520,079 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Demócrata
$310,571 Vol.
67%
Republicano
$209,508 Vol.
35%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Maine’s 2026 Senate race pits long-serving Republican incumbent Susan Collins against Democratic nominee Graham Platner, an oyster farmer and veteran who secured the nomination after Governor Janet Mills withdrew in April. Recent polling from June shows a toss-up or narrow Platner edge in head-to-head matchups, reflecting Maine’s Democratic-leaning presidential results and Collins’ status as the state’s sole remaining Republican in Congress. Traders assign Democrats a 66.5% implied probability, consistent with the state’s partisan lean and the competitive positioning of an untested challenger against an incumbent who has historically built cross-party support through appropriations leadership. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts driven by primary aftermath, national political conditions, or candidate-specific developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Mercado abierto: Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ET
Volumen
$520,079Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Maine’s 2026 Senate race pits long-serving Republican incumbent Susan Collins against Democratic nominee Graham Platner, an oyster farmer and veteran who secured the nomination after Governor Janet Mills withdrew in April. Recent polling from June shows a toss-up or narrow Platner edge in head-to-head matchups, reflecting Maine’s Democratic-leaning presidential results and Collins’ status as the state’s sole remaining Republican in Congress. Traders assign Democrats a 66.5% implied probability, consistent with the state’s partisan lean and the competitive positioning of an untested challenger against an incumbent who has historically built cross-party support through appropriations leadership. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts driven by primary aftermath, national political conditions, or candidate-specific developments.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Maine U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Volumen
$520,079Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Oct 13, 2025, 5:28 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maine’s 2026 Senate race pits long-serving Republican incumbent Susan Collins against Democratic nominee Graham Platner, an oyster farmer and veteran who secured the nomination after Governor Janet Mills withdrew in April. Recent polling from June shows a toss-up or narrow Platner edge in head-to-head matchups, reflecting Maine’s Democratic-leaning presidential results and Collins’ status as the state’s sole remaining Republican in Congress. Traders assign Democrats a 66.5% implied probability, consistent with the state’s partisan lean and the competitive positioning of an untested challenger against an incumbent who has historically built cross-party support through appropriations leadership. The November 3 general election remains months away, leaving room for shifts driven by primary aftermath, national political conditions, or candidate-specific developments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes