Ukraine’s political institutions have demonstrated resilience amid the ongoing conflict with Russia, with martial law extending through 2026 and presidential elections postponed. Recent government reshuffles in 2025–2026, including a new prime minister, defense leadership changes, and appointments consolidating authority under President Zelenskyy, reflect efforts to centralize control over security and defense sectors rather than signals of imminent instability. Protests over anti-corruption legislation in 2025 and high-profile scandals prompted institutional adjustments and personnel shifts, yet parliament and agencies continue functioning without successful challenges to the constitutional order. Trader consensus on low probabilities for a coup attempt aligns with the absence of verified plots since 2024 foiled operations and the priority on wartime cohesion, though scheduled leadership reviews or external diplomatic developments could introduce volatility within the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$169,153 Vol.
30 dic 2026
31 de diciembre
7%
$169,153 Vol.
31 de diciembre
$151,317 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine’s political institutions have demonstrated resilience amid the ongoing conflict with Russia, with martial law extending through 2026 and presidential elections postponed. Recent government reshuffles in 2025–2026, including a new prime minister, defense leadership changes, and appointments consolidating authority under President Zelenskyy, reflect efforts to centralize control over security and defense sectors rather than signals of imminent instability. Protests over anti-corruption legislation in 2025 and high-profile scandals prompted institutional adjustments and personnel shifts, yet parliament and agencies continue functioning without successful challenges to the constitutional order. Trader consensus on low probabilities for a coup attempt aligns with the absence of verified plots since 2024 foiled operations and the priority on wartime cohesion, though scheduled leadership reviews or external diplomatic developments could introduce volatility within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ET
Volumen
$169,153Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Ukraine’s political institutions have demonstrated resilience amid the ongoing conflict with Russia, with martial law extending through 2026 and presidential elections postponed. Recent government reshuffles in 2025–2026, including a new prime minister, defense leadership changes, and appointments consolidating authority under President Zelenskyy, reflect efforts to centralize control over security and defense sectors rather than signals of imminent instability. Protests over anti-corruption legislation in 2025 and high-profile scandals prompted institutional adjustments and personnel shifts, yet parliament and agencies continue functioning without successful challenges to the constitutional order. Trader consensus on low probabilities for a coup attempt aligns with the absence of verified plots since 2024 foiled operations and the priority on wartime cohesion, though scheduled leadership reviews or external diplomatic developments could introduce volatility within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in Ukraine at any point between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Ukrainian government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Ukrainian government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$169,153Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Jun 24, 2026, 8:28 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Ukraine’s political institutions have demonstrated resilience amid the ongoing conflict with Russia, with martial law extending through 2026 and presidential elections postponed. Recent government reshuffles in 2025–2026, including a new prime minister, defense leadership changes, and appointments consolidating authority under President Zelenskyy, reflect efforts to centralize control over security and defense sectors rather than signals of imminent instability. Protests over anti-corruption legislation in 2025 and high-profile scandals prompted institutional adjustments and personnel shifts, yet parliament and agencies continue functioning without successful challenges to the constitutional order. Trader consensus on low probabilities for a coup attempt aligns with the absence of verified plots since 2024 foiled operations and the priority on wartime cohesion, though scheduled leadership reviews or external diplomatic developments could introduce volatility within the resolution window.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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