Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of power through the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins the near-certain trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Recent high-profile investigations into senior military figures, such as Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia in early 2026, have been interpreted as internal purges reinforcing discipline rather than evidence of factional revolt or leadership challenge. Leninist party structures, extensive surveillance, and historical patterns of elite compliance continue to constrain organized dissent. While economic pressures or uncertainties surrounding the 2027 Party Congress could theoretically create openings for fractures, current indicators show no verified pathways meeting the threshold for a reported coup attempt.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$133,751 Vol.
$133,751 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$133,751 Vol.
$133,751 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of power through the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins the near-certain trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Recent high-profile investigations into senior military figures, such as Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia in early 2026, have been interpreted as internal purges reinforcing discipline rather than evidence of factional revolt or leadership challenge. Leninist party structures, extensive surveillance, and historical patterns of elite compliance continue to constrain organized dissent. While economic pressures or uncertainties surrounding the 2027 Party Congress could theoretically create openings for fractures, current indicators show no verified pathways meeting the threshold for a reported coup attempt.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$133,751Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of power through the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins the near-certain trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Recent high-profile investigations into senior military figures, such as Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia in early 2026, have been interpreted as internal purges reinforcing discipline rather than evidence of factional revolt or leadership challenge. Leninist party structures, extensive surveillance, and historical patterns of elite compliance continue to constrain organized dissent. While economic pressures or uncertainties surrounding the 2027 Party Congress could theoretically create openings for fractures, current indicators show no verified pathways meeting the threshold for a reported coup attempt.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$133,751Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s sustained consolidation of power through the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins the near-certain trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Recent high-profile investigations into senior military figures, such as Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia in early 2026, have been interpreted as internal purges reinforcing discipline rather than evidence of factional revolt or leadership challenge. Leninist party structures, extensive surveillance, and historical patterns of elite compliance continue to constrain organized dissent. While economic pressures or uncertainties surrounding the 2027 Party Congress could theoretically create openings for fractures, current indicators show no verified pathways meeting the threshold for a reported coup attempt.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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