Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army through ongoing leadership consolidation and anti-corruption investigations. Recent probes into senior military figures, including Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia in early 2026, have been officially framed as discipline violations rather than power challenges, with no reported organized resistance or factional upheaval. Trader consensus at 97.2% for no coup attempt before 2027 reflects China’s centralized command structure, historical precedent of unverified rumors, and the absence of credible evidence for coordinated action against the leadership. While late-breaking internal splits or external shocks could theoretically alter dynamics before the 2026 deadline, systemic controls make such outcomes improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$133,957 Vol.
$133,957 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$133,957 Vol.
$133,957 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army through ongoing leadership consolidation and anti-corruption investigations. Recent probes into senior military figures, including Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia in early 2026, have been officially framed as discipline violations rather than power challenges, with no reported organized resistance or factional upheaval. Trader consensus at 97.2% for no coup attempt before 2027 reflects China’s centralized command structure, historical precedent of unverified rumors, and the absence of credible evidence for coordinated action against the leadership. While late-breaking internal splits or external shocks could theoretically alter dynamics before the 2026 deadline, systemic controls make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$133,957Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army through ongoing leadership consolidation and anti-corruption investigations. Recent probes into senior military figures, including Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia in early 2026, have been officially framed as discipline violations rather than power challenges, with no reported organized resistance or factional upheaval. Trader consensus at 97.2% for no coup attempt before 2027 reflects China’s centralized command structure, historical precedent of unverified rumors, and the absence of credible evidence for coordinated action against the leadership. While late-breaking internal splits or external shocks could theoretically alter dynamics before the 2026 deadline, systemic controls make such outcomes improbable.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$133,957Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping maintains firm control over the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army through ongoing leadership consolidation and anti-corruption investigations. Recent probes into senior military figures, including Central Military Commission Vice Chairman Zhang Youxia in early 2026, have been officially framed as discipline violations rather than power challenges, with no reported organized resistance or factional upheaval. Trader consensus at 97.2% for no coup attempt before 2027 reflects China’s centralized command structure, historical precedent of unverified rumors, and the absence of credible evidence for coordinated action against the leadership. While late-breaking internal splits or external shocks could theoretically alter dynamics before the 2026 deadline, systemic controls make such outcomes improbable.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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