Xi Jinping’s extensive consolidation of authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins the 97.2% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing military purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior Central Military Commission figures, have reinforced loyalty through institutional controls rather than sparking open challenges, while public signals of elite cohesion ahead of the 2027 Party Congress remain steady. This environment aligns with the historical pattern of minimal successful internal power seizures in modern China. Even so, abrupt shifts remain possible if Xi encounters a serious health issue, a major foreign policy reversal such as escalation over Taiwan, or unforeseen succession pressures that fracture current alignments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
$133,383 Vol.
$133,383 Vol.
31 dic 2026
Sí
$133,383 Vol.
$133,383 Vol.
31 dic 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive consolidation of authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins the 97.2% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing military purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior Central Military Commission figures, have reinforced loyalty through institutional controls rather than sparking open challenges, while public signals of elite cohesion ahead of the 2027 Party Congress remain steady. This environment aligns with the historical pattern of minimal successful internal power seizures in modern China. Even so, abrupt shifts remain possible if Xi encounters a serious health issue, a major foreign policy reversal such as escalation over Taiwan, or unforeseen succession pressures that fracture current alignments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$133,383Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.Xi Jinping’s extensive consolidation of authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins the 97.2% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing military purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior Central Military Commission figures, have reinforced loyalty through institutional controls rather than sparking open challenges, while public signals of elite cohesion ahead of the 2027 Party Congress remain steady. This environment aligns with the historical pattern of minimal successful internal power seizures in modern China. Even so, abrupt shifts remain possible if Xi encounters a serious health issue, a major foreign policy reversal such as escalation over Taiwan, or unforeseen succession pressures that fracture current alignments.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a widely reported coup attempt in China at any point between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
A coup attempt is defined as a coordinated and deliberate effort by military, security forces, or other state actors (or factions thereof) to overthrow or unlawfully seize control of the Chinese government or its leadership. Revolutionary actions by non-state forces, isolated protests, or general unrest will not alone qualify.
Claims by the Chinese government that a coup attempt was foiled—such as through arrests or disruption of a planned operation—will only count toward a "Yes" resolution if credible independent sources widely report and explicitly characterize the event as a coup attempt. Foiled plots or arrests that occur without any attempted execution of the coup will not qualify.
The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$133,383Fecha de finalización
31 dic 2026Mercado abierto
Nov 13, 2025, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Xi Jinping’s extensive consolidation of authority within the Chinese Communist Party and People’s Liberation Army underpins the 97.2% trader consensus against a coup attempt before 2027. Ongoing military purges, including the January 2026 investigation of senior Central Military Commission figures, have reinforced loyalty through institutional controls rather than sparking open challenges, while public signals of elite cohesion ahead of the 2027 Party Congress remain steady. This environment aligns with the historical pattern of minimal successful internal power seizures in modern China. Even so, abrupt shifts remain possible if Xi encounters a serious health issue, a major foreign policy reversal such as escalation over Taiwan, or unforeseen succession pressures that fracture current alignments.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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