**Mojtaba Khamenei has remained out of public view since succeeding his father as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026, following the February 28 US-Israeli airstrike that killed Ali Khamenei and injured Mojtaba.** Iranian officials, including President Masoud Pezeshkian, have repeatedly affirmed in September 2026 statements that he is alive, recovering, and exercising final authority from a secure domestic location, attributing speculation about his condition or absence to foreign propaganda amid ongoing conflict and assassination risks. Reports of severe injuries, possible treatment abroad (including unverified mentions of Russia), or collective decision-making have fueled questions about his whereabouts, yet regime sources and analysts emphasize security-driven concealment inside Iran rather than departure. No confirmed public appearances, videos, or direct communications have emerged, sustaining trader focus on whether security threats, health needs, or political pressures could prompt an exit before any market deadline. Recent military appointments attributed to him and written statements on war and economy underscore continuity claims without resolving location uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$117,838 Vol.
31 oct 2026
31 de octubre
4%
31 de diciembre
4%
$117,838 Vol.
31 de octubre
$119 Vol.
4%
31 de diciembre
$806 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Mojtaba Khamenei has remained out of public view since succeeding his father as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026, following the February 28 US-Israeli airstrike that killed Ali Khamenei and injured Mojtaba.** Iranian officials, including President Masoud Pezeshkian, have repeatedly affirmed in September 2026 statements that he is alive, recovering, and exercising final authority from a secure domestic location, attributing speculation about his condition or absence to foreign propaganda amid ongoing conflict and assassination risks. Reports of severe injuries, possible treatment abroad (including unverified mentions of Russia), or collective decision-making have fueled questions about his whereabouts, yet regime sources and analysts emphasize security-driven concealment inside Iran rather than departure. No confirmed public appearances, videos, or direct communications have emerged, sustaining trader focus on whether security threats, health needs, or political pressures could prompt an exit before any market deadline. Recent military appointments attributed to him and written statements on war and economy underscore continuity claims without resolving location uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Aug 18, 2026, 12:48 PM ET
Volumen
$117,838Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.**Mojtaba Khamenei has remained out of public view since succeeding his father as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026, following the February 28 US-Israeli airstrike that killed Ali Khamenei and injured Mojtaba.** Iranian officials, including President Masoud Pezeshkian, have repeatedly affirmed in September 2026 statements that he is alive, recovering, and exercising final authority from a secure domestic location, attributing speculation about his condition or absence to foreign propaganda amid ongoing conflict and assassination risks. Reports of severe injuries, possible treatment abroad (including unverified mentions of Russia), or collective decision-making have fueled questions about his whereabouts, yet regime sources and analysts emphasize security-driven concealment inside Iran rather than departure. No confirmed public appearances, videos, or direct communications have emerged, sustaining trader focus on whether security threats, health needs, or political pressures could prompt an exit before any market deadline. Recent military appointments attributed to him and written statements on war and economy underscore continuity claims without resolving location uncertainty.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if it is confirmed that Mojtaba Khamenei was outside Iran at any point between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Both the presence outside Iran and its confirmation must occur between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. A presence outside Iran occurring prior to market creation will not qualify, regardless of when it is confirmed.
Mojtaba Khamenei need not depart Iran during the market window, nor remain outside Iran at the time of confirmation. If he was already outside Iran at market creation, his confirmed presence outside Iran during the window will qualify; likewise, a confirmed presence during the window will qualify even if he has since returned to Iran.
In cases where Mojtaba Khamenei may have exited Iranian airspace on a plane, he must be confirmed to have exited the plane in a country other than Iran for this market to resolve to "Yes". If Mojtaba Khamenei exits Iranian maritime territory on a boat to international waters, this market may resolve to "Yes".
If no qualifying confirmation occurs by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$117,838Fecha de finalización
1 ene 2027Mercado abierto
Aug 18, 2026, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...**Mojtaba Khamenei has remained out of public view since succeeding his father as Iran's Supreme Leader in March 2026, following the February 28 US-Israeli airstrike that killed Ali Khamenei and injured Mojtaba.** Iranian officials, including President Masoud Pezeshkian, have repeatedly affirmed in September 2026 statements that he is alive, recovering, and exercising final authority from a secure domestic location, attributing speculation about his condition or absence to foreign propaganda amid ongoing conflict and assassination risks. Reports of severe injuries, possible treatment abroad (including unverified mentions of Russia), or collective decision-making have fueled questions about his whereabouts, yet regime sources and analysts emphasize security-driven concealment inside Iran rather than departure. No confirmed public appearances, videos, or direct communications have emerged, sustaining trader focus on whether security threats, health needs, or political pressures could prompt an exit before any market deadline. Recent military appointments attributed to him and written statements on war and economy underscore continuity claims without resolving location uncertainty.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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