US-mediated diplomacy has intensified efforts to revive trilateral talks between Russia, Ukraine, and the United States, following September 2026 visits to Moscow and Kyiv by envoys Steve Witkoff and Jared Kushner. These produced agreement in principle for October negotiations, potentially in the UAE, alongside a temporary halt in strikes on the capitals during the trip. Russia continues to demand Ukrainian withdrawal from remaining Donbas areas and other territorial concessions while rejecting broader ceasefires, whereas Ukraine seeks reliable security guarantees and reciprocity on any partial measures such as an energy infrastructure moratorium. President Trump’s recent claims of an energy truce drew cautious responses from both sides without confirmed terms. Ongoing aerial strikes and Russia’s post-election timeline for further engagement remain key variables ahead of potential UNGA meetings and winter pressures.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoZelenskyy rebuffs Trump's claim of energy ceasefire, demands Russian halt and US guarantees
Ukrainian President Zelenskyy dismissed US President Trump's claim of a mutual ceasefire on energy infrastructure strikes, stating Ukraine would only stop attacks if Russia reciprocates and the US guarantees it. This highlighted ongoing mistrust and uncertainty, tempering market enthusiasm.
US envoy thanks Putin for facilitating ceasefire amid ongoing peace negotiations
December 31, 2027 rises to 70%3%
US envoy Steve Witkoff expressed gratitude to Russian President Putin for facilitating the ceasefire, signaling positive diplomatic progress and supporting increased market optimism for a ceasefire agreement by the end of 2027.



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