**Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end because bilateral summit planning has stalled amid the Ukraine impasse.** Multiple 2026 phone contacts produced no firm in-person schedule after earlier 2025 proposals, such as a Budapest summit, collapsed and subsequent diplomatic efforts yielded only framework ideas unacceptable to Ukraine. The U.S. G20 host slot in Miami offers a potential multilateral venue, yet signals indicate low likelihood of Putin attendance. China registers the next-highest probability as a neutral third-country option consistent with recent high-level Russia-China diplomacy, while direct meetings in Russia or the United States face structural and political barriers. These dynamics reflect ongoing negotiation friction rather than any imminent breakthrough.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Dónde se reunirán Trump y Putin en 2026?
Sin reunión hasta el 31 de diciembre 80%
China 13%
Russia 2.6%
United States 1.5%
$275,190 Vol.
$275,190 Vol.

Sin reunión hasta el 31 de diciembre
80%

China
13%

Russia
3%

United States
2%

Other
1%

Gulf country
1%

Belarus
1%

South Korea
1%

Other EU country
<1%

Switzerland
<1%

Turkey
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Finland
<1%

Australia
<1%

Japan
<1%
Sin reunión hasta el 31 de diciembre 80%
China 13%
Russia 2.6%
United States 1.5%
$275,190 Vol.
$275,190 Vol.

Sin reunión hasta el 31 de diciembre
80%

China
13%

Russia
3%

United States
2%

Other
1%

Gulf country
1%

Belarus
1%

South Korea
1%

Other EU country
<1%

Switzerland
<1%

Turkey
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Finland
<1%

Australia
<1%

Japan
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end because bilateral summit planning has stalled amid the Ukraine impasse.** Multiple 2026 phone contacts produced no firm in-person schedule after earlier 2025 proposals, such as a Budapest summit, collapsed and subsequent diplomatic efforts yielded only framework ideas unacceptable to Ukraine. The U.S. G20 host slot in Miami offers a potential multilateral venue, yet signals indicate low likelihood of Putin attendance. China registers the next-highest probability as a neutral third-country option consistent with recent high-level Russia-China diplomacy, while direct meetings in Russia or the United States face structural and political barriers. These dynamics reflect ongoing negotiation friction rather than any imminent breakthrough.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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