The elevated probability assigned to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end stems from the lack of any scheduled in-person summit in 2026, even after their August 2025 Alaska encounter on Ukraine and a July 2026 phone call in which both leaders agreed to maintain contacts around the NATO summit without setting a date or venue. Diplomatic focus has remained on bilateral calls, territorial negotiations, and sanctions relief rather than new face-to-face arrangements, while Russia’s deepening coordination with China—evident in the May 2026 Xi-Putin meetings—supports that location’s secondary positioning. Other sites remain marginal absent official announcements or shifts in U.S.-Russia or Russia-China diplomacy.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Dónde se reunirán Trump y Putin en 2026?
Sin reunión hasta el 31 de diciembre 80%
China 13%
Russia 2.6%
United States 1.6%
$276,488 Vol.
$276,488 Vol.

Sin reunión hasta el 31 de diciembre
80%

China
13%

Russia
3%

United States
2%

Other
1%

Gulf country
1%

Turkey
1%

Belarus
1%

South Korea
1%

Other EU country
<1%

Switzerland
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Finland
<1%

Australia
<1%

Japan
<1%
Sin reunión hasta el 31 de diciembre 80%
China 13%
Russia 2.6%
United States 1.6%
$276,488 Vol.
$276,488 Vol.

Sin reunión hasta el 31 de diciembre
80%

China
13%

Russia
3%

United States
2%

Other
1%

Gulf country
1%

Turkey
1%

Belarus
1%

South Korea
1%

Other EU country
<1%

Switzerland
<1%

Ukraine
<1%

Finland
<1%

Australia
<1%

Japan
<1%
This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: May 26, 2026, 6:45 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to "No meeting by December 31" if no qualifying meeting occurs during this market's timeframe.
A meeting is defined as any encounter where Putin and Trump are all present and interact with each other in person.
An exchange of words, handshake, direct conversation, or other clear personal interaction between the named individuals will qualify as a meeting. Merely standing in proximity, making eye contact, or being present in the same room or event without direct interaction will not qualify.
For this market, Gulf states are defined as the six members of the Gulf Cooperation Council (Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, United Arab Emirates).
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The elevated probability assigned to no Trump-Putin meeting by year-end stems from the lack of any scheduled in-person summit in 2026, even after their August 2025 Alaska encounter on Ukraine and a July 2026 phone call in which both leaders agreed to maintain contacts around the NATO summit without setting a date or venue. Diplomatic focus has remained on bilateral calls, territorial negotiations, and sanctions relief rather than new face-to-face arrangements, while Russia’s deepening coordination with China—evident in the May 2026 Xi-Putin meetings—supports that location’s secondary positioning. Other sites remain marginal absent official announcements or shifts in U.S.-Russia or Russia-China diplomacy.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado


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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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