Trump's October 2025 statements directing the Pentagon to begin nuclear weapons testing on an equal basis with rivals triggered trader interest in U.S. explosive testing markets, yet subsequent administration clarifications emphasized subcritical or non-critical experiments rather than full-yield detonations. The United States has maintained a voluntary moratorium on explosive nuclear tests since 1992 and retains technical readiness to conduct an underground test within 24-36 months of a presidential decision, primarily at the Nevada National Security Site. Official policy continues to prioritize stockpile stewardship without explosive testing, while congressional oversight of NNSA funding and international diplomatic signaling around the CTBT remain key variables. No explosive test has occurred as of mid-2026, and procedural, environmental, and alliance considerations continue to shape timelines for any potential resumption.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado¿Prueba nuclear de EE. UU. realizada por...?
¿Prueba nuclear de EE. UU. realizada por...?
$768,767 Vol.
30 sep 2026
30 de septiembre de 2026
1%
31 de diciembre de 2026
4%
$768,767 Vol.
30 de septiembre de 2026
$57,189 Vol.
1%
31 de diciembre de 2026
$50,767 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.Trump's October 2025 statements directing the Pentagon to begin nuclear weapons testing on an equal basis with rivals triggered trader interest in U.S. explosive testing markets, yet subsequent administration clarifications emphasized subcritical or non-critical experiments rather than full-yield detonations. The United States has maintained a voluntary moratorium on explosive nuclear tests since 1992 and retains technical readiness to conduct an underground test within 24-36 months of a presidential decision, primarily at the Nevada National Security Site. Official policy continues to prioritize stockpile stewardship without explosive testing, while congressional oversight of NNSA funding and international diplomatic signaling around the CTBT remain key variables. No explosive test has occurred as of mid-2026, and procedural, environmental, and alliance considerations continue to shape timelines for any potential resumption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Mercado abierto: Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ET
Volumen
$768,767Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.Trump's October 2025 statements directing the Pentagon to begin nuclear weapons testing on an equal basis with rivals triggered trader interest in U.S. explosive testing markets, yet subsequent administration clarifications emphasized subcritical or non-critical experiments rather than full-yield detonations. The United States has maintained a voluntary moratorium on explosive nuclear tests since 1992 and retains technical readiness to conduct an underground test within 24-36 months of a presidential decision, primarily at the Nevada National Security Site. Official policy continues to prioritize stockpile stewardship without explosive testing, while congressional oversight of NNSA funding and international diplomatic signaling around the CTBT remain key variables. No explosive test has occurred as of mid-2026, and procedural, environmental, and alliance considerations continue to shape timelines for any potential resumption.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US conducts a nuclear test by the listed date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
A nuclear test is defined as the intentional non-combat detonation of a device by the US that produces a nuclear chain reaction (fission or fusion), regardless of yield.
Accidents, radiological dispersal devices (bombs that spread radioactive material using conventional explosives such as "dirty bombs"), or actions by third parties will not count toward this market's resolution.
Tests not explicitly claimed by US may still qualify if a clear consensus of credible reporting attributes the nuclear detonation to US. For example, an unclaimed nuclear test analogous to the 1979 "Vela Incident" would count if credible reporting attributes it to the US.
The resolution source for this market will be a broad consensus of credible reporting.
Volumen
$768,767Fecha de finalización
31 mar 2026Mercado abierto
Mar 31, 2026, 3:32 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Trump's October 2025 statements directing the Pentagon to begin nuclear weapons testing on an equal basis with rivals triggered trader interest in U.S. explosive testing markets, yet subsequent administration clarifications emphasized subcritical or non-critical experiments rather than full-yield detonations. The United States has maintained a voluntary moratorium on explosive nuclear tests since 1992 and retains technical readiness to conduct an underground test within 24-36 months of a presidential decision, primarily at the Nevada National Security Site. Official policy continues to prioritize stockpile stewardship without explosive testing, while congressional oversight of NNSA funding and international diplomatic signaling around the CTBT remain key variables. No explosive test has occurred as of mid-2026, and procedural, environmental, and alliance considerations continue to shape timelines for any potential resumption.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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