Missouri's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and the incumbent's 71 percent victory margin in the prior cycle. Mark Alford, the sitting Republican representative, enters the August 4 primary as the clear frontrunner against limited challengers, while Democratic primary contenders remain largely undeveloped ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with independent race ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Republican. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset, late-breaking scandal, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave that alters turnout patterns in this rural and suburban district.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMO-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MO-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$31,204 Vol.
$31,204 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Demócrata
7%
$31,204 Vol.
$31,204 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$17,284 Vol.
93%
Partido Demócrata
$13,920 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and the incumbent's 71 percent victory margin in the prior cycle. Mark Alford, the sitting Republican representative, enters the August 4 primary as the clear frontrunner against limited challengers, while Democratic primary contenders remain largely undeveloped ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with independent race ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Republican. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset, late-breaking scandal, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave that alters turnout patterns in this rural and suburban district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$31,204Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and the incumbent's 71 percent victory margin in the prior cycle. Mark Alford, the sitting Republican representative, enters the August 4 primary as the clear frontrunner against limited challengers, while Democratic primary contenders remain largely undeveloped ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with independent race ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Republican. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset, late-breaking scandal, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave that alters turnout patterns in this rural and suburban district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$31,204Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 4th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt, reflected in its partisan voting index and the incumbent's 71 percent victory margin in the prior cycle. Mark Alford, the sitting Republican representative, enters the August 4 primary as the clear frontrunner against limited challengers, while Democratic primary contenders remain largely undeveloped ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with independent race ratings classifying the seat as safe or solid Republican. Potential shifts could arise from an unexpected primary upset, late-breaking scandal, or an unusually strong national Democratic wave that alters turnout patterns in this rural and suburban district.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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