Incumbent Republican Mark Alford secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote against two challengers, positioning him for the November 3 general election in Missouri's 4th district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+21 and delivered Alford a 71 percent margin in 2024, reflecting consistent Republican dominance in its mix of rural counties and suburban areas. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, consistent with the district's electoral history and limited Democratic infrastructure. A recent state Supreme Court ruling on congressional maps introduced some boundary uncertainty ahead of the general, though Alford stated it would not alter his campaign approach. A major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic surge would represent the primary paths for a Democratic upset in this environment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoMO-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
MO-04 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$49,439 Vol.
$49,439 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
92%
Partido Demócrata
8%
$49,439 Vol.
$49,439 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$32,363 Vol.
92%
Partido Demócrata
$17,076 Vol.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Alford secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote against two challengers, positioning him for the November 3 general election in Missouri's 4th district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+21 and delivered Alford a 71 percent margin in 2024, reflecting consistent Republican dominance in its mix of rural counties and suburban areas. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, consistent with the district's electoral history and limited Democratic infrastructure. A recent state Supreme Court ruling on congressional maps introduced some boundary uncertainty ahead of the general, though Alford stated it would not alter his campaign approach. A major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic surge would represent the primary paths for a Democratic upset in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Volumen
$49,439Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mark Alford secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote against two challengers, positioning him for the November 3 general election in Missouri's 4th district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+21 and delivered Alford a 71 percent margin in 2024, reflecting consistent Republican dominance in its mix of rural counties and suburban areas. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, consistent with the district's electoral history and limited Democratic infrastructure. A recent state Supreme Court ruling on congressional maps introduced some boundary uncertainty ahead of the general, though Alford stated it would not alter his campaign approach. A major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic surge would represent the primary paths for a Democratic upset in this environment.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$49,439Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mark Alford secured his party's nomination in the August 4 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote against two challengers, positioning him for the November 3 general election in Missouri's 4th district. The seat carries a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+21 and delivered Alford a 71 percent margin in 2024, reflecting consistent Republican dominance in its mix of rural counties and suburban areas. Forecasters rate the contest Solid Republican, consistent with the district's electoral history and limited Democratic infrastructure. A recent state Supreme Court ruling on congressional maps introduced some boundary uncertainty ahead of the general, though Alford stated it would not alter his campaign approach. A major scandal, health issue, or unusually strong national Democratic surge would represent the primary paths for a Democratic upset in this environment.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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