Maine’s 2nd Congressional District features an open seat after Democratic Rep. Jared Golden’s retirement, pitting Republican nominee Paul LePage against Democrat Matt Dunlap in a race rated lean or likely Republican by multiple forecasters. The district’s rural character and repeated support for Donald Trump in presidential contests underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 57 percent implied probability. Early general-election polling showed near ties between LePage and potential Democratic opponents, while both nominees have secured substantial fundraising and targeted endorsements from business and labor groups. National midterm dynamics, candidate positioning on guns and health care, and turnout patterns in key counties keep the contest competitive. Scheduled debates and shifts in economic sentiment ahead of November could widen or narrow the gap reflected in current pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNUEVO
NUEVO
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
57%
Partido Demócrata
43%
NUEVO
NUEVO
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$5,595 Vol.
57%
Partido Demócrata
$2,002 Vol.
43%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maine’s 2nd Congressional District features an open seat after Democratic Rep. Jared Golden’s retirement, pitting Republican nominee Paul LePage against Democrat Matt Dunlap in a race rated lean or likely Republican by multiple forecasters. The district’s rural character and repeated support for Donald Trump in presidential contests underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 57 percent implied probability. Early general-election polling showed near ties between LePage and potential Democratic opponents, while both nominees have secured substantial fundraising and targeted endorsements from business and labor groups. National midterm dynamics, candidate positioning on guns and health care, and turnout patterns in key counties keep the contest competitive. Scheduled debates and shifts in economic sentiment ahead of November could widen or narrow the gap reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ET
Volumen
$7,597Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maine’s 2nd Congressional District features an open seat after Democratic Rep. Jared Golden’s retirement, pitting Republican nominee Paul LePage against Democrat Matt Dunlap in a race rated lean or likely Republican by multiple forecasters. The district’s rural character and repeated support for Donald Trump in presidential contests underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 57 percent implied probability. Early general-election polling showed near ties between LePage and potential Democratic opponents, while both nominees have secured substantial fundraising and targeted endorsements from business and labor groups. National midterm dynamics, candidate positioning on guns and health care, and turnout patterns in key counties keep the contest competitive. Scheduled debates and shifts in economic sentiment ahead of November could widen or narrow the gap reflected in current pricing.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ME-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$7,597Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jul 20, 2026, 6:15 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Maine’s 2nd Congressional District features an open seat after Democratic Rep. Jared Golden’s retirement, pitting Republican nominee Paul LePage against Democrat Matt Dunlap in a race rated lean or likely Republican by multiple forecasters. The district’s rural character and repeated support for Donald Trump in presidential contests underpin trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 57 percent implied probability. Early general-election polling showed near ties between LePage and potential Democratic opponents, while both nominees have secured substantial fundraising and targeted endorsements from business and labor groups. National midterm dynamics, candidate positioning on guns and health care, and turnout patterns in key counties keep the contest competitive. Scheduled debates and shifts in economic sentiment ahead of November could widen or narrow the gap reflected in current pricing.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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