Delaware’s at-large congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, with trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee a 94.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Sarah McBride, who captured the seat in 2024, faces no primary opposition and benefits from consistent nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Safe or Solid Democratic. Multiple Republican primary candidates are competing on September 15, yet none have shown statewide viability in a district where Democratic performance has held steady across recent cycles. With the general election still weeks away, limited opportunity exists for developments such as an unexpected scandal or sharp national swing to shift the outcome before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de DE-AL
Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara de Representantes de DE-AL
$43,260 Vol.
$43,260 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
5%
$43,260 Vol.
$43,260 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$5,359 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$37,900 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware’s at-large congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, with trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee a 94.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Sarah McBride, who captured the seat in 2024, faces no primary opposition and benefits from consistent nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Safe or Solid Democratic. Multiple Republican primary candidates are competing on September 15, yet none have shown statewide viability in a district where Democratic performance has held steady across recent cycles. With the general election still weeks away, limited opportunity exists for developments such as an unexpected scandal or sharp national swing to shift the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Volumen
$43,260Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Delaware’s at-large congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, with trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee a 94.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Sarah McBride, who captured the seat in 2024, faces no primary opposition and benefits from consistent nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Safe or Solid Democratic. Multiple Republican primary candidates are competing on September 15, yet none have shown statewide viability in a district where Democratic performance has held steady across recent cycles. With the general election still weeks away, limited opportunity exists for developments such as an unexpected scandal or sharp national swing to shift the outcome before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the DE-AL congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$43,260Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Delaware’s at-large congressional district remains a solidly Democratic seat, with trader consensus assigning the Democratic nominee a 94.5 percent implied probability of victory in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Sarah McBride, who captured the seat in 2024, faces no primary opposition and benefits from consistent nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as Safe or Solid Democratic. Multiple Republican primary candidates are competing on September 15, yet none have shown statewide viability in a district where Democratic performance has held steady across recent cycles. With the general election still weeks away, limited opportunity exists for developments such as an unexpected scandal or sharp national swing to shift the outcome before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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