Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith secured a strong performance in Washington’s August 4, 2026 top-two primary, advancing alongside Republican Doug Basler to the November 3 general election in the 9th congressional district. The seat, encompassing southern and eastern Seattle suburbs and areas such as Renton, Kent, and Federal Way, has consistently delivered Democratic margins exceeding 60 percent in recent cycles, reflecting its partisan composition and urban-suburban voter base. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democrat, consistent with Smith’s 2024 reelection share. Traders’ 94.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic victory aligns with this structural advantage and Smith’s incumbency, though late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific events, or turnout anomalies could still alter the outcome before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWA-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
WA-09 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$31,145 Vol.
$31,145 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
95%
Partido Republicano
5%
$31,145 Vol.
$31,145 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$11,539 Vol.
95%
Partido Republicano
$19,606 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith secured a strong performance in Washington’s August 4, 2026 top-two primary, advancing alongside Republican Doug Basler to the November 3 general election in the 9th congressional district. The seat, encompassing southern and eastern Seattle suburbs and areas such as Renton, Kent, and Federal Way, has consistently delivered Democratic margins exceeding 60 percent in recent cycles, reflecting its partisan composition and urban-suburban voter base. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democrat, consistent with Smith’s 2024 reelection share. Traders’ 94.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic victory aligns with this structural advantage and Smith’s incumbency, though late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific events, or turnout anomalies could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$31,145Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith secured a strong performance in Washington’s August 4, 2026 top-two primary, advancing alongside Republican Doug Basler to the November 3 general election in the 9th congressional district. The seat, encompassing southern and eastern Seattle suburbs and areas such as Renton, Kent, and Federal Way, has consistently delivered Democratic margins exceeding 60 percent in recent cycles, reflecting its partisan composition and urban-suburban voter base. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democrat, consistent with Smith’s 2024 reelection share. Traders’ 94.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic victory aligns with this structural advantage and Smith’s incumbency, though late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific events, or turnout anomalies could still alter the outcome before election day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$31,145Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Adam Smith secured a strong performance in Washington’s August 4, 2026 top-two primary, advancing alongside Republican Doug Basler to the November 3 general election in the 9th congressional district. The seat, encompassing southern and eastern Seattle suburbs and areas such as Renton, Kent, and Federal Way, has consistently delivered Democratic margins exceeding 60 percent in recent cycles, reflecting its partisan composition and urban-suburban voter base. Cook Political Report rates the contest Solid Democrat, consistent with Smith’s 2024 reelection share. Traders’ 94.5 percent implied probability for a Democratic victory aligns with this structural advantage and Smith’s incumbency, though late-cycle national shifts, candidate-specific events, or turnout anomalies could still alter the outcome before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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