Democratic incumbent Kim Schrier holds a structural edge in Washington's 8th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 that she carried by roughly four points in 2024. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The nonpartisan primary on August 4 remains months away, limiting candidate-specific movement, while early fundraising data shows Schrier maintaining a substantial cash advantage. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district's modest Democratic lean and the incumbent's established position, though broader midterm dynamics and any late primary challengers could still influence the outcome before ballots are cast.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWA-08 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
WA-08 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
53%
Partido Republicano
12%
NUEVO
NUEVO
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$753 Vol.
53%
Partido Republicano
$170 Vol.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kim Schrier holds a structural edge in Washington's 8th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 that she carried by roughly four points in 2024. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The nonpartisan primary on August 4 remains months away, limiting candidate-specific movement, while early fundraising data shows Schrier maintaining a substantial cash advantage. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district's modest Democratic lean and the incumbent's established position, though broader midterm dynamics and any late primary challengers could still influence the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volumen
$924Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Kim Schrier holds a structural edge in Washington's 8th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 that she carried by roughly four points in 2024. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The nonpartisan primary on August 4 remains months away, limiting candidate-specific movement, while early fundraising data shows Schrier maintaining a substantial cash advantage. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district's modest Democratic lean and the incumbent's established position, though broader midterm dynamics and any late primary challengers could still influence the outcome before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$924Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Kim Schrier holds a structural edge in Washington's 8th congressional district, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+3 that she carried by roughly four points in 2024. Forecasters at the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November 3, 2026 general election. The nonpartisan primary on August 4 remains months away, limiting candidate-specific movement, while early fundraising data shows Schrier maintaining a substantial cash advantage. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with the district's modest Democratic lean and the incumbent's established position, though broader midterm dynamics and any late primary challengers could still influence the outcome before ballots are cast.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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