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Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec

icon for Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec

Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 70%

Christine Fréchette 14.3%

Charles Milliard 13%

Ruba Ghazal <1%

Polymarket

$70,053 Vol.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 70%

Christine Fréchette 14.3%

Charles Milliard 13%

Ruba Ghazal <1%

Polymarket

$70,053 Vol.

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$12,784 Vol.

70%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$15,041 Vol.

14%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$6,570 Vol.

13%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$3,830 Vol.

1%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$17,723 Vol.

1%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$5,875 Vol.

<1%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$8,230 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader pricing for Quebec's next premier ahead of the October 5, 2026 general election, reflecting the Parti Québécois's sustained position atop recent opinion polls at around 30 percent, with particular strength among francophone voters. Recent leadership transitions have reshaped the contest: Christine Fréchette assumed the Coalition Avenir Québec helm and premiership in April 2026, producing modest polling gains that have narrowed the gap with the third-place party, while Charles Milliard took the Quebec Liberal leadership in February and has positioned his party as the main federalist alternative, keeping it within a few points of the PQ in multiple surveys. A public dispute in mid-June over Plamondon's remarks linking Liberals to organized crime prompted legal threats from Milliard, underscoring the campaign's sharpening tone. Other listed candidates trail far behind amid these dynamics.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$70,053
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads trader pricing for Quebec's next premier ahead of the October 5, 2026 general election, reflecting the Parti Québécois's sustained position atop recent opinion polls at around 30 percent, with particular strength among francophone voters. Recent leadership transitions have reshaped the contest: Christine Fréchette assumed the Coalition Avenir Québec helm and premiership in April 2026, producing modest polling gains that have narrowed the gap with the third-place party, while Charles Milliard took the Quebec Liberal leadership in February and has positioned his party as the main federalist alternative, keeping it within a few points of the PQ in multiple surveys. A public dispute in mid-June over Plamondon's remarks linking Liberals to organized crime prompted legal threats from Milliard, underscoring the campaign's sharpening tone. Other listed candidates trail far behind amid these dynamics.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$70,053
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" con 70%, seguido de "Christine Fréchette" con 14%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 70¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 70% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec" ha generado $70.1K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec" es "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" con 70%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 70% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Christine Fréchette" con 14%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.