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Elecciones·Elecciones Globales

Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec

icon for Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec
Elecciones·Elecciones Globales

Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 76%

Christine Fréchette 19.9%

Charles Milliard 3.7%

Bernard Drainville <1%

Polymarket

$322,397 Vol.

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon 76%

Christine Fréchette 19.9%

Charles Milliard 3.7%

Bernard Drainville <1%

Polymarket

$322,397 Vol.

icon for Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

Paul St-Pierre Plamondon

$22,425 Vol.

76%

icon for Christine Fréchette

Christine Fréchette

$78,351 Vol.

20%

icon for Charles Milliard

Charles Milliard

$19,280 Vol.

4%

icon for Bernard Drainville

Bernard Drainville

$61,577 Vol.

<1%

icon for Ruba Ghazal

Ruba Ghazal

$38,396 Vol.

<1%

icon for Éric Duhaime

Éric Duhaime

$49,514 Vol.

<1%

icon for Sol Zanetti

Sol Zanetti

$52,854 Vol.

<1%

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads the market at 75.5% as Parti Québécois leader heading into the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, reflecting sustained polling advantages around 29% support and strong seat projections that favor his party forming government. Christine Fréchette, who became CAQ leader and premier in April 2026 after François Legault’s resignation, trails at 19.6% amid CAQ support near 23-24%. Recent campaign developments center on sovereignty debates, with Plamondon committing to a referendum in a first mandate while Fréchette emphasizes economic stability and avoids clarifying her stance. Charles Milliard’s Liberals sit near 20-22%, and smaller parties including Québec solidaire and the Conservatives remain marginal. Trader consensus prices the PQ’s polling consistency and vote efficiency as the dominant factor, with limited time left for shifts before election day.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$322,397
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Paul St-Pierre Plamondon leads the market at 75.5% as Parti Québécois leader heading into the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, reflecting sustained polling advantages around 29% support and strong seat projections that favor his party forming government. Christine Fréchette, who became CAQ leader and premier in April 2026 after François Legault’s resignation, trails at 19.6% amid CAQ support near 23-24%. Recent campaign developments center on sovereignty debates, with Plamondon committing to a referendum in a first mandate while Fréchette emphasizes economic stability and avoids clarifying her stance. Charles Milliard’s Liberals sit near 20-22%, and smaller parties including Québec solidaire and the Conservatives remain marginal. Trader consensus prices the PQ’s polling consistency and vote efficiency as the dominant factor, with limited time left for shifts before election day.

The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The 2026 Quebec general election is scheduled to be held no later than October 5, 2026. This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed as Premier of Quebec as a result of the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be formally appointed as Premier following the specified elections. Any interim or caretaker head of government will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Premier is appointed by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Quebec; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volumen
$322,397
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
May 1, 2026, 6:13 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 7 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" con 76%, seguido de "Christine Fréchette" con 20%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 76¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 76% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec" ha generado $322.4K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el May 1, 2026. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec", explora los 7 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec" es "Paul St-Pierre Plamondon" con 76%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 76% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Christine Fréchette" con 20%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Próximo Primer Ministro de Quebec" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.