The closed primary among Socialist Party, Place Publique, and Gauche républicaine et sociale members features seven declared candidates, with Olivier Faure and Raphaël Glucksmann positioned as the leading contenders based on early positioning and party influence. Recent weeks have seen internal tensions over participation rules, including disputes about opening the vote to outsiders such as François Ruffin and debates over a 15-euro participation fee, alongside scheduled televised debates in late September and early October. These factors, combined with the two-round structure set for 9–10 and 16–17 October, have shaped trader consensus that no single candidate is positioned to secure an absolute majority on the first ballot.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoSí
42% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 oct 2026
Sí
42% probabilidad
NUEVO
NUEVO
10 oct 2026
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The closed primary among Socialist Party, Place Publique, and Gauche républicaine et sociale members features seven declared candidates, with Olivier Faure and Raphaël Glucksmann positioned as the leading contenders based on early positioning and party influence. Recent weeks have seen internal tensions over participation rules, including disputes about opening the vote to outsiders such as François Ruffin and debates over a 15-euro participation fee, alongside scheduled televised debates in late September and early October. These factors, combined with the two-round structure set for 9–10 and 16–17 October, have shaped trader consensus that no single candidate is positioned to secure an absolute majority on the first ballot.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Mercado abierto: Sep 9, 2026, 6:30 PM ET
Volumen
$40Fecha de finalización
10 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 6:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.The closed primary among Socialist Party, Place Publique, and Gauche républicaine et sociale members features seven declared candidates, with Olivier Faure and Raphaël Glucksmann positioned as the leading contenders based on early positioning and party influence. Recent weeks have seen internal tensions over participation rules, including disputes about opening the vote to outsiders such as François Ruffin and debates over a 15-euro participation fee, alongside scheduled televised debates in late September and early October. These factors, combined with the two-round structure set for 9–10 and 16–17 October, have shaped trader consensus that no single candidate is positioned to secure an absolute majority on the first ballot.
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections. The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official PS sources, including https://parti-socialiste.fr/.
Volumen
$40Fecha de finalización
10 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 6:30 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The closed primary among Socialist Party, Place Publique, and Gauche républicaine et sociale members features seven declared candidates, with Olivier Faure and Raphaël Glucksmann positioned as the leading contenders based on early positioning and party influence. Recent weeks have seen internal tensions over participation rules, including disputes about opening the vote to outsiders such as François Ruffin and debates over a 15-euro participation fee, alongside scheduled televised debates in late September and early October. These factors, combined with the two-round structure set for 9–10 and 16–17 October, have shaped trader consensus that no single candidate is positioned to secure an absolute majority on the first ballot.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Ganará Raphaël Glucksmann la primera vuelta de las primarias socialistas francesas?
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¿Terminará Olivier Faure en segundo lugar en la primera vuelta de las primarias socialistas francesas?
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¿Se cancelarán las primarias de Izquierda Unida de 2026 para las elecciones presidenciales francesas de 2027?
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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