Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Blue and White, the centrist party led by Benny Gantz, consistently below the 3.25% electoral threshold, often at 0.7–1.3% of the vote. Multiple defections have reduced its Knesset faction from eight to three MKs, with former members joining Yashar or Together. The September 8 party-list submission featured a revamped slate that has not reversed this trend, as recent surveys from Channel 13, Maariv, and others place the party near or under 1%. Traders price the lowest vote-share bins highest because these developments, combined with calls from other opposition parties for Gantz to withdraw and avoid splitting anti-Netanyahu votes, point to limited remaining support. The October vote will determine final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado<0.75% 39%
2-3,25% 22%
0,75-1,25% 22%
1,25-2% 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
<0.75%
39%
0,75-1,25%
22%
1,25-2%
20%
2-3,25%
22%
3,25%+
7%
<0.75% 39%
2-3,25% 22%
0,75-1,25% 22%
1,25-2% 20%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
<0.75%
$244 Vol.
39%
0,75-1,25%
$373 Vol.
22%
1,25-2%
$15 Vol.
20%
2-3,25%
$15 Vol.
22%
3,25%+
$245 Vol.
7%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Blue and White, the centrist party led by Benny Gantz, consistently below the 3.25% electoral threshold, often at 0.7–1.3% of the vote. Multiple defections have reduced its Knesset faction from eight to three MKs, with former members joining Yashar or Together. The September 8 party-list submission featured a revamped slate that has not reversed this trend, as recent surveys from Channel 13, Maariv, and others place the party near or under 1%. Traders price the lowest vote-share bins highest because these developments, combined with calls from other opposition parties for Gantz to withdraw and avoid splitting anti-Netanyahu votes, point to limited remaining support. The October vote will determine final resolution.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Volumen
$892Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Blue and White, the centrist party led by Benny Gantz, consistently below the 3.25% electoral threshold, often at 0.7–1.3% of the vote. Multiple defections have reduced its Knesset faction from eight to three MKs, with former members joining Yashar or Together. The September 8 party-list submission featured a revamped slate that has not reversed this trend, as recent surveys from Channel 13, Maariv, and others place the party near or under 1%. Traders price the lowest vote-share bins highest because these developments, combined with calls from other opposition parties for Gantz to withdraw and avoid splitting anti-Netanyahu votes, point to limited remaining support. The October vote will determine final resolution.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volumen
$892Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27, 2026, Knesset election shows Blue and White, the centrist party led by Benny Gantz, consistently below the 3.25% electoral threshold, often at 0.7–1.3% of the vote. Multiple defections have reduced its Knesset faction from eight to three MKs, with former members joining Yashar or Together. The September 8 party-list submission featured a revamped slate that has not reversed this trend, as recent surveys from Channel 13, Maariv, and others place the party near or under 1%. Traders price the lowest vote-share bins highest because these developments, combined with calls from other opposition parties for Gantz to withdraw and avoid splitting anti-Netanyahu votes, point to limited remaining support. The October vote will determine final resolution.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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