Recent polling for Israel's October 27 legislative election shows The Democrats, the merged Labor-Meretz party led by Yair Golan, consistently projected at 8-11 Knesset seats. This range aligns with vote shares clustered between roughly 7% and 9%, producing the tight market pricing across adjacent buckets. The party's July primary achieved record turnout and finalized a diverse slate, yet support has remained steady without major post-merger momentum or erosion. Fragmented opposition dynamics, including competition from Yashar and Together for center-left voters, plus the broader anti-Netanyahu bloc's seat shortfall, limit upside or downside moves. Late-campaign events such as security developments or turnout shifts among left-leaning blocs could separate outcomes before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado9%+ 36%
7-8% 33%
8-9% 32%
6-7% 32%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
<6%
31%
6-7%
32%
7-8%
33%
8-9%
32%
9%+
36%
9%+ 36%
7-8% 33%
8-9% 32%
6-7% 32%
NUEVO
NUEVO
30 nov 2026
<6%
$0 Vol.
31%
6-7%
$0 Vol.
32%
7-8%
$0 Vol.
33%
8-9%
$0 Vol.
32%
9%+
$0 Vol.
36%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 legislative election shows The Democrats, the merged Labor-Meretz party led by Yair Golan, consistently projected at 8-11 Knesset seats. This range aligns with vote shares clustered between roughly 7% and 9%, producing the tight market pricing across adjacent buckets. The party's July primary achieved record turnout and finalized a diverse slate, yet support has remained steady without major post-merger momentum or erosion. Fragmented opposition dynamics, including competition from Yashar and Together for center-left voters, plus the broader anti-Netanyahu bloc's seat shortfall, limit upside or downside moves. Late-campaign events such as security developments or turnout shifts among left-leaning blocs could separate outcomes before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Mercado abierto: Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ET
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polling for Israel's October 27 legislative election shows The Democrats, the merged Labor-Meretz party led by Yair Golan, consistently projected at 8-11 Knesset seats. This range aligns with vote shares clustered between roughly 7% and 9%, producing the tight market pricing across adjacent buckets. The party's July primary achieved record turnout and finalized a diverse slate, yet support has remained steady without major post-merger momentum or erosion. Fragmented opposition dynamics, including competition from Yashar and Together for center-left voters, plus the broader anti-Netanyahu bloc's seat shortfall, limit upside or downside moves. Late-campaign events such as security developments or turnout shifts among left-leaning blocs could separate outcomes before election day.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Democrats party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Democrats's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Democrats passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Volumen
$0Fecha de finalización
27 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Sep 8, 2026, 2:33 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent polling for Israel's October 27 legislative election shows The Democrats, the merged Labor-Meretz party led by Yair Golan, consistently projected at 8-11 Knesset seats. This range aligns with vote shares clustered between roughly 7% and 9%, producing the tight market pricing across adjacent buckets. The party's July primary achieved record turnout and finalized a diverse slate, yet support has remained steady without major post-merger momentum or erosion. Fragmented opposition dynamics, including competition from Yashar and Together for center-left voters, plus the broader anti-Netanyahu bloc's seat shortfall, limit upside or downside moves. Late-campaign events such as security developments or turnout shifts among left-leaning blocs could separate outcomes before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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