Elaine Pelino leads the Rhode Island Republican gubernatorial primary with strong trader consensus ahead of the September 9 vote, reflecting consistent polling advantages among likely GOP primary voters. University of New Hampshire and Embold Research surveys from June through August showed her ahead of Aaron Guckian by 20-plus points, with large undecided shares, while Guckian secured the state party endorsement at the June convention and holds a fundraising edge from his prior lieutenant governor run. Pelino, a political newcomer positioning as a MAGA-aligned candidate, has benefited from base appeal in a low-turnout primary environment where early voting began August 20. Minor candidates including Robert Raimondo have withdrawn, leaving the contest between the two main contenders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoElaine Pelino 86%
Aaron Guckian 14.7%
Robert Raimondo <1%
Ashley Kalus <1%
$41,241 Vol.
$41,241 Vol.

Elaine Pelino
86%

Aaron Guckian
15%

Robert Raimondo
<1%

Ashley Kalus
<1%

Jessica de la Cruz
<1%
Elaine Pelino 86%
Aaron Guckian 14.7%
Robert Raimondo <1%
Ashley Kalus <1%
$41,241 Vol.
$41,241 Vol.

Elaine Pelino
86%

Aaron Guckian
15%

Robert Raimondo
<1%

Ashley Kalus
<1%

Jessica de la Cruz
<1%
If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Mercado abierto: Dec 10, 2025, 11:37 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...If no 2026 Rhode Island Gubernatorial Republican Primary takes place, this market will resolve to “Other.”
The resolution source for this market will be the first official announcement of the results from the Rhode Island Republican Party; however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Elaine Pelino leads the Rhode Island Republican gubernatorial primary with strong trader consensus ahead of the September 9 vote, reflecting consistent polling advantages among likely GOP primary voters. University of New Hampshire and Embold Research surveys from June through August showed her ahead of Aaron Guckian by 20-plus points, with large undecided shares, while Guckian secured the state party endorsement at the June convention and holds a fundraising edge from his prior lieutenant governor run. Pelino, a political newcomer positioning as a MAGA-aligned candidate, has benefited from base appeal in a low-turnout primary environment where early voting began August 20. Minor candidates including Robert Raimondo have withdrawn, leaving the contest between the two main contenders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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