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icon for Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Tongatapu 2
Mundo·Tonga

Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Tongatapu 2

icon for Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Tongatapu 2
Mundo·Tonga

Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Tongatapu 2

Lei Paasi 37%

Alvin Lafu Sika 36%

Sione Harvard Tupouniua 29%

Mounu Uaisele 25%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Lei Paasi 37%

Alvin Lafu Sika 36%

Sione Harvard Tupouniua 29%

Mounu Uaisele 25%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Lei Paasi

$29 Vol.

37%

Alvin Lafu Sika

$29 Vol.

36%

Sione Harvard Tupouniua

$29 Vol.

29%

Mounu Uaisele

$29 Vol.

25%

'Olioni Manoa

$29 Vol.

25%

Malakai Matafonuafo'ou 'Ofa ki Wakawaka Koloamatangi

$29 Vol.

23%

Mele Teusivi 'Amanaki

$29 Vol.

23%

Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila

$29 Vol.

23%

Samiuela Vea

$29 Vol.

22%

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Tongatapu 2 by-election, set for 8 October 2026, features nine registered candidates after the Supreme Court upheld bribery and campaign spending convictions against the 2025 winner Semisi Sika, vacating the seat and barring him from contesting for five years. Trader prices reflect a fragmented field, with Sione Harvard Tupouniua, ‘Olioni Manoa, ‘Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila, and Malakai Koloamatangi clustered near the top amid low differentiation in early positioning. Recent withdrawals by three prospective entrants to consolidate behind Koloamatangi, combined with three women candidates and the absence of the prior runner-up, have kept implied probabilities tightly bunched. No public polling or major endorsements have yet emerged to separate contenders ahead of the vote, leaving outcomes dependent on local turnout patterns and last-minute alliances in the single-member constituency.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volumen
$262
Fecha de finalización
8 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).The Tongatapu 2 by-election, set for 8 October 2026, features nine registered candidates after the Supreme Court upheld bribery and campaign spending convictions against the 2025 winner Semisi Sika, vacating the seat and barring him from contesting for five years. Trader prices reflect a fragmented field, with Sione Harvard Tupouniua, ‘Olioni Manoa, ‘Ilaisa Lepolo Taunisila, and Malakai Koloamatangi clustered near the top amid low differentiation in early positioning. Recent withdrawals by three prospective entrants to consolidate behind Koloamatangi, combined with three women candidates and the absence of the prior runner-up, have kept implied probabilities tightly bunched. No public polling or major endorsements have yet emerged to separate contenders ahead of the vote, leaving outcomes dependent on local turnout patterns and last-minute alliances in the single-member constituency.

A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga.

If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).A by-election in the Tongan constituency of Tongatapu 2 is scheduled to take place on October 8, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the Tongatapu 2 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Tonga. If the result of this election isn’t known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Tonga Electoral Commission (https://elections.gov.to/; https://www.facebook.com/KomisoniFili).
Volumen
$262
Fecha de finalización
8 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Sep 9, 2026, 5:47 PM ET

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Tongatapu 2" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 9 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Lei Paasi" con 37%, seguido de "Alvin Lafu Sika" con 36%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 37¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Tongatapu 2" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Sep 9, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Tongatapu 2", explora los 9 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Tongatapu 2" es "Lei Paasi" con 37%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 37% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Alvin Lafu Sika" con 36%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Tongatapu 2" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.