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icon for Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Vaimauga 3

Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Vaimauga 3

icon for Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Vaimauga 3

Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Vaimauga 3

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 43%

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 43%

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 43%

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 43%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia 43%

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni 43%

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo 43%

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo 43%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia

Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni

Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo

Sooialo Lemigaoitamalii Sooialo

$0 Vol.

43%

icon for Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo

Vaiofuaiupolu Chris Faaofo

$0 Vol.

43%

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The court ruling invalidating the May 2026 Vaimauga 3 by-election results due to corrupt practices by both the FAST candidate Taioaliʻiseu Fiti Aimaʻasu and independent winner Lautimuia Uelese Vaʻai has reset the contest under Samoa’s Electoral Act provisions on party-switching and electoral petitions. With the seat now vacant again ahead of a fresh poll, trader odds remain tightly clustered near even money across a broad field of independents and party nominees. Key factors sustaining the deadlock include the absence of a dominant frontrunner, lingering effects of prior party-hopping dynamics between FAST and HRPP, and local priorities such as constituency development funding. Upcoming candidate nominations, campaign spending disclosures, and any further court rulings could shift probabilities by clarifying the viable contenders.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).The court ruling invalidating the May 2026 Vaimauga 3 by-election results due to corrupt practices by both the FAST candidate Taioaliʻiseu Fiti Aimaʻasu and independent winner Lautimuia Uelese Vaʻai has reset the contest under Samoa’s Electoral Act provisions on party-switching and electoral petitions. With the seat now vacant again ahead of a fresh poll, trader odds remain tightly clustered near even money across a broad field of independents and party nominees. Key factors sustaining the deadlock include the absence of a dominant frontrunner, lingering effects of prior party-hopping dynamics between FAST and HRPP, and local priorities such as constituency development funding. Upcoming candidate nominations, campaign spending disclosures, and any further court rulings could shift probabilities by clarifying the viable contenders.

A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa.

If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
18 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:58 PM ET
A by-election in the Samoan constituency of Vaimauga 3 is scheduled to take place on September 18, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Vaimauga 3 by-election to the Legislative Assembly of Samoa. If the result of this election isn't known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Office of the Electoral Commission of Samoa (https://www.oec.gov.ws/; https://www.facebook.com/oecsamoa).

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Vaimauga 3" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia" con 44%, seguido de "Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni" con 44%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 44¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Vaimauga 3" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 31, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Vaimauga 3", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Vaimauga 3" es "Nonu Lemauga Laulu William Mauia" con 44%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 44% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Puaalatamai Tupuola Malaeulu Filemoni" con 44%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Ganador de las elecciones parciales de Vaimauga 3" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.