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icon for Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mundo·Elecciones Mundiales

Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mundo·Elecciones Mundiales

Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Nathalie Roy 47%

Jean-François Cloutier 44%

Ginette Langlois 26%

Mathieu Lavoie 23%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Nathalie Roy 47%

Jean-François Cloutier 44%

Ginette Langlois 26%

Mathieu Lavoie 23%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Nathalie Roy

Nathalie Roy

$40 Vol.

47%

icon for Jean-François Cloutier

Jean-François Cloutier

$20 Vol.

44%

icon for Ginette Langlois

Ginette Langlois

$91 Vol.

26%

icon for Mathieu Lavoie

Mathieu Lavoie

$62 Vol.

23%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Montarville riding for Quebec's October 5, 2026, National Assembly election, trader sentiment reflects a competitive contest shaped by incumbent Nathalie Roy's CAQ record against Parti Québécois challenger Jean-François Cloutier, a journalist who announced his candidacy in early August. Provincial polling trends favoring the PQ, combined with Liberal candidate Mathieu Lavoie and Québec solidaire's Ginette Langlois drawing support in suburban South Shore areas, have kept implied probabilities closely aligned near 40-50 percent for leading options. Recent writ drop and candidate nominations through September have introduced volatility, while historical CAQ strength in the riding competes with broader shifts in voter preferences. Scheduled debates and turnout patterns in battleground ridings could further separate outcomes before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$213
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).In the Montarville riding for Quebec's October 5, 2026, National Assembly election, trader sentiment reflects a competitive contest shaped by incumbent Nathalie Roy's CAQ record against Parti Québécois challenger Jean-François Cloutier, a journalist who announced his candidacy in early August. Provincial polling trends favoring the PQ, combined with Liberal candidate Mathieu Lavoie and Québec solidaire's Ginette Langlois drawing support in suburban South Shore areas, have kept implied probabilities closely aligned near 40-50 percent for leading options. Recent writ drop and candidate nominations through September have introduced volatility, while historical CAQ strength in the riding competes with broader shifts in voter preferences. Scheduled debates and turnout patterns in battleground ridings could further separate outcomes before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$213
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Montarville Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Nathalie Roy" con 47%, seguido de "Jean-François Cloutier" con 45%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 47¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 47% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 31, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" es "Nathalie Roy" con 47%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 47% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Jean-François Cloutier" con 45%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Montarville Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.