The Maskinongé riding features a fragmented multi-party contest ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with no dominant frontrunner reflected in trader pricing. The incumbent CAQ MNA Simon Allaire reversed an earlier retirement decision to seek re-election, bolstering that party's position after strong 2022 results, while the PQ fields high-profile nominee Isabelle Blais and QS fields repeat candidate Simon Piotte. Liberal Nancy Mignault and Conservative Marc-André Cloutier add further competition in a riding with shifting historical support across parties. Recent candidate nominations and the August 27 campaign launch have sustained uncertainty, keeping implied probabilities closely bunched as traders weigh local profiles, turnout patterns, and vote splitting among the main contenders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoNancy Mignault 49%
Isabelle Blais 49%
Simon Allaire 47%
Marc-André Cloutier 47%

Nancy Mignault
49%

Isabelle Blais
49%

Simon Allaire
47%

Marc-André Cloutier
47%

Simon Piotte
27%
Nancy Mignault 49%
Isabelle Blais 49%
Simon Allaire 47%
Marc-André Cloutier 47%

Nancy Mignault
49%

Isabelle Blais
49%

Simon Allaire
47%

Marc-André Cloutier
47%

Simon Piotte
27%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 3:50 PM ET
Fuente de resolución
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Maskinongé Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Fuente de resolución
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Maskinongé riding features a fragmented multi-party contest ahead of the October 5, 2026, Quebec general election, with no dominant frontrunner reflected in trader pricing. The incumbent CAQ MNA Simon Allaire reversed an earlier retirement decision to seek re-election, bolstering that party's position after strong 2022 results, while the PQ fields high-profile nominee Isabelle Blais and QS fields repeat candidate Simon Piotte. Liberal Nancy Mignault and Conservative Marc-André Cloutier add further competition in a riding with shifting historical support across parties. Recent candidate nominations and the August 27 campaign launch have sustained uncertainty, keeping implied probabilities closely bunched as traders weigh local profiles, turnout patterns, and vote splitting among the main contenders.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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