Skip to main content
icon for Laurier-Dorion Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec
Mundo·Canadá

Laurier-Dorion Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec

icon for Laurier-Dorion Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec
Mundo·Canadá

Laurier-Dorion Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec

Andrés Fontecilla 44%

Randy Legault-Rankin 27%

Derek Lefebvre 27%

Kelly Lazo de la Vega 24%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Andrés Fontecilla 44%

Randy Legault-Rankin 27%

Derek Lefebvre 27%

Kelly Lazo de la Vega 24%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Andrés Fontecilla

Andrés Fontecilla

$0 Vol.

44%

icon for Randy Legault-Rankin

Randy Legault-Rankin

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Derek Lefebvre

Derek Lefebvre

$0 Vol.

27%

icon for Kelly Lazo de la Vega

Kelly Lazo de la Vega

$0 Vol.

24%

icon for Emil Parfyonov

Emil Parfyonov

$0 Vol.

24%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The tight race in Laurier-Dorion reflects Québec solidaire incumbent Andrés Fontecilla's established local base in this Montreal riding against a competitive Liberal challenger in Randy Legault-Rankin, amid a broader provincial contest scheduled for October 5. Recent candidate nominations and the campaign launch have highlighted shared priorities such as housing affordability, immigration integration, and public services, with projections showing QS and Liberal support within a few points. Limited polling granularity at the riding level, combined with the open nomination window until September 17, sustains uncertainty among traders. Developments like party leader visibility in the district, shifts in voter turnout among key blocs, or late policy contrasts on cost-of-living measures could widen the gap before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The tight race in Laurier-Dorion reflects Québec solidaire incumbent Andrés Fontecilla's established local base in this Montreal riding against a competitive Liberal challenger in Randy Legault-Rankin, amid a broader provincial contest scheduled for October 5. Recent candidate nominations and the campaign launch have highlighted shared priorities such as housing affordability, immigration integration, and public services, with projections showing QS and Liberal support within a few points. Limited polling granularity at the riding level, combined with the open nomination window until September 17, sustains uncertainty among traders. Developments like party leader visibility in the district, shifts in voter turnout among key blocs, or late policy contrasts on cost-of-living measures could widen the gap before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$0
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:48 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laurier-Dorion Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Relacionado

icon for Will Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Chloé Fauchon win the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election?

61%
icon for ¿Ganará Sol Zanetti la próxima elección de la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec por Jean-Lesage?

¿Ganará Sol Zanetti la próxima elección de la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec por Jean-Lesage?

50%
Sí
icon for Will Jérôme Gagnon win the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election?

Will Jérôme Gagnon win the next Nicolet-Bécancour Quebec National Assembly election?

45%

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Laurier-Dorion Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Andrés Fontecilla" con 45%, seguido de "Randy Legault-Rankin" con 27%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 45¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Laurier-Dorion Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 31, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Laurier-Dorion Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Laurier-Dorion Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" es "Andrés Fontecilla" con 45%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 45% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Randy Legault-Rankin" con 27%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Laurier-Dorion Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.