The tight trader consensus around 50% for multiple candidates in Groulx reflects the riding's status as a toss-up between the incumbent CAQ's Eric Girard and the PQ's Marie-Claude Sarrazin, with Liberals and Québec solidaire also fielding contenders. Recent developments, including the August 27 writ drop for the October 5 provincial election and the PQ's late-August nomination of a former Gallant commission prosecutor, have intensified competition in this Laurentides seat that flipped toward the CAQ in 2018 and 2022. Provincial polling volatility between the two leading parties, combined with the nomination deadline still weeks away, sustains uncertainty over which candidate can consolidate support in a fragmented field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoEric Girard 45%
Marie-Claude Sarrazin 44%
Julie Tourangeau 44%
Marie-Noëlle Aubertin 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 oct 2026
Eric Girard
45%
Marie-Claude Sarrazin
44%
Julie Tourangeau
44%
Marie-Noëlle Aubertin
27%
Eric Girard 45%
Marie-Claude Sarrazin 44%
Julie Tourangeau 44%
Marie-Noëlle Aubertin 27%
NUEVO
NUEVO
5 oct 2026
Eric Girard
$0 Vol.
45%
Marie-Claude Sarrazin
$0 Vol.
44%
Julie Tourangeau
$0 Vol.
44%
Marie-Noëlle Aubertin
$25 Vol.
27%
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The tight trader consensus around 50% for multiple candidates in Groulx reflects the riding's status as a toss-up between the incumbent CAQ's Eric Girard and the PQ's Marie-Claude Sarrazin, with Liberals and Québec solidaire also fielding contenders. Recent developments, including the August 27 writ drop for the October 5 provincial election and the PQ's late-August nomination of a former Gallant commission prosecutor, have intensified competition in this Laurentides seat that flipped toward the CAQ in 2018 and 2022. Provincial polling volatility between the two leading parties, combined with the nomination deadline still weeks away, sustains uncertainty over which candidate can consolidate support in a fragmented field.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Mercado abierto: Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ET
Volumen
$25Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The tight trader consensus around 50% for multiple candidates in Groulx reflects the riding's status as a toss-up between the incumbent CAQ's Eric Girard and the PQ's Marie-Claude Sarrazin, with Liberals and Québec solidaire also fielding contenders. Recent developments, including the August 27 writ drop for the October 5 provincial election and the PQ's late-August nomination of a former Gallant commission prosecutor, have intensified competition in this Laurentides seat that flipped toward the CAQ in 2018 and 2022. Provincial polling volatility between the two leading parties, combined with the nomination deadline still weeks away, sustains uncertainty over which candidate can consolidate support in a fragmented field.
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Groulx Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.
If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$25Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:47 PM ETFuente de resolución
https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The tight trader consensus around 50% for multiple candidates in Groulx reflects the riding's status as a toss-up between the incumbent CAQ's Eric Girard and the PQ's Marie-Claude Sarrazin, with Liberals and Québec solidaire also fielding contenders. Recent developments, including the August 27 writ drop for the October 5 provincial election and the PQ's late-August nomination of a former Gallant commission prosecutor, have intensified competition in this Laurentides seat that flipped toward the CAQ in 2018 and 2022. Provincial polling volatility between the two leading parties, combined with the nomination deadline still weeks away, sustains uncertainty over which candidate can consolidate support in a fragmented field.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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