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Mundo·Elecciones Mundiales

Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

icon for Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner
Mundo·Elecciones Mundiales

Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

Marc-Antoine Bernier 41%

Chloé Fauchon 39%

Richard Bélanger 26%

Marcos Archambault 25%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Marc-Antoine Bernier 41%

Chloé Fauchon 39%

Richard Bélanger 26%

Marcos Archambault 25%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Marc-Antoine Bernier

Marc-Antoine Bernier

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Chloé Fauchon

Chloé Fauchon

$6 Vol.

61%

icon for Richard Bélanger

Richard Bélanger

$0 Vol.

26%

icon for Marcos Archambault

Marcos Archambault

$0 Vol.

25%

icon for Anne-Sophie Roy

Anne-Sophie Roy

$0 Vol.

25%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Chloé Fauchon of the Parti Québécois holds the highest implied probability at 61% in trader consensus for the Louis-Hébert seat in the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election. The riding, previously held by retiring CAQ incumbent Geneviève Guilbault, features a competitive matchup with CAQ candidate Marc-Antoine Bernier at 43%, alongside lower probabilities for QS’s Anne-Sophie Roy, PCQ’s Marcos Archambault, and Liberal Richard Bélanger. Recent developments include the August 27 writ drop and ongoing nomination period ending September 17, amid provincial polling trends favoring PQ gains in Capitale-Nationale ridings through emphasis on housing affordability, public services, and sovereignty messaging. Traders appear to weigh Fauchon’s profile as a public-interest lawyer against Bernier’s continuity with the governing party in a seat projected as a close PQ-CAQ contest by models like 338Canada.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$6
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).Chloé Fauchon of the Parti Québécois holds the highest implied probability at 61% in trader consensus for the Louis-Hébert seat in the October 5, 2026 Quebec general election. The riding, previously held by retiring CAQ incumbent Geneviève Guilbault, features a competitive matchup with CAQ candidate Marc-Antoine Bernier at 43%, alongside lower probabilities for QS’s Anne-Sophie Roy, PCQ’s Marcos Archambault, and Liberal Richard Bélanger. Recent developments include the August 27 writ drop and ongoing nomination period ending September 17, amid provincial polling trends favoring PQ gains in Capitale-Nationale ridings through emphasis on housing affordability, public services, and sovereignty messaging. Traders appear to weigh Fauchon’s profile as a public-interest lawyer against Bernier’s continuity with the governing party in a seat projected as a close PQ-CAQ contest by models like 338Canada.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$6
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:49 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 5 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Chloé Fauchon" con 61%, seguido de "Marc-Antoine Bernier" con 41%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 61¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 61% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 31, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner", explora los 5 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" es "Chloé Fauchon" con 61%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 61% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Marc-Antoine Bernier" con 41%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Louis-Hébert Quebec National Assembly Election Winner" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.