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Política·Primarias

MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

icon for MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas
Política·Primarias

MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas

Dan Koh 80%

Diann Slavit Baylis 8.2%

Tram Nguyen 3.7%

Kevin Larivee 3.3%

Polymarket

$36,502 Vol.

Dan Koh 80%

Diann Slavit Baylis 8.2%

Tram Nguyen 3.7%

Kevin Larivee 3.3%

Polymarket

$36,502 Vol.

Dan Koh

$4,415 Vol.

80%

Diann Slavit Baylis

$5,136 Vol.

8%

Tram Nguyen

$4,427 Vol.

4%

Kevin Larivee

$1,519 Vol.

3%

Rachel Creemers

$2,182 Vol.

3%

Mariah Lancaster

$1,896 Vol.

3%

John Beccia

$1,734 Vol.

2%

Dominick Pangallo

$6,118 Vol.

2%

Jamie Zahlaway Belsito

$2,189 Vol.

1%

Seth Moulton

$1,826 Vol.

1%

Rick Jakious

$3,479 Vol.

1%

Beth Andres-Beck

$1,582 Vol.

<1%

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former President Joe Biden's endorsement of Dan Koh four days ago—his second of the 2026 cycle for a former White House deputy assistant—has solidified Koh's frontrunner status in the crowded, open Massachusetts 6th Congressional District Democratic primary on September 1, reflected in trader consensus pricing him at 79.5% implied probability. Incumbent Seth Moulton is not seeking re-election, pursuing a U.S. Senate bid instead, leaving a competitive field where Koh's fundraising dominance, including January totals far outpacing rivals, and prior nods from Pete Buttigieg, Marty Walsh, and IBEW Local 2222 have built momentum. Diann Slavit Baylis trails at 9.9%, with others under 4%, amid no recent polls but strong market signals favoring Koh's establishment backing and early ballot qualification.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$36,502
Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Former President Joe Biden's endorsement of Dan Koh four days ago—his second of the 2026 cycle for a former White House deputy assistant—has solidified Koh's frontrunner status in the crowded, open Massachusetts 6th Congressional District Democratic primary on September 1, reflected in trader consensus pricing him at 79.5% implied probability. Incumbent Seth Moulton is not seeking re-election, pursuing a U.S. Senate bid instead, leaving a competitive field where Koh's fundraising dominance, including January totals far outpacing rivals, and prior nods from Pete Buttigieg, Marty Walsh, and IBEW Local 2222 have built momentum. Diann Slavit Baylis trails at 9.9%, with others under 4%, amid no recent polls but strong market signals favoring Koh's establishment backing and early ballot qualification.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.

If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.

Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$36,502
Fecha de finalización
15 sep 2026
Mercado abierto
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET

Resolver

0x2F5e3684c...
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 12 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Dan Koh" con 80%, seguido de "Diann Slavit Baylis" con 8%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 80¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 80% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

A día de hoy, "MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" ha generado $36.5K en volumen total de trading desde que el mercado se lanzó el Nov 25, 2025. Este nivel de actividad refleja un fuerte compromiso de la comunidad de Polymarket y ayuda a garantizar que las probabilidades actuales estén respaldadas por un amplio grupo de participantes del mercado. Puedes seguir los movimientos de precios en vivo y operar en cualquier resultado directamente en esta página.

Para operar en "MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas", explora los 12 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" es "Dan Koh" con 80%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 80% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Diann Slavit Baylis" con 8%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "MA-06 Ganador de las primarias demócratas" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.