Alaska's August 18, 2026, nonpartisan top-four primary will select the finalists to succeed term-limited Governor Mike Dunleavy in a crowded field exceeding 18 candidates. Recent polling shows Democrat Tom Begich holding a lead, positioning him as the clearest frontrunner to advance, while Republican contenders including Dave Bronson, Nancy Dahlstrom, and Treg Taylor face tighter competition for the remaining slots. Market pricing reflects these trends amid the state's unique ranked-choice-style primary rules, where support consolidation and turnout in the final weeks could shift advancement probabilities. No major late-breaking events have altered the race since early summer polls, leaving candidate visibility, endorsements, and voter outreach as the primary drivers heading into election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado$230,366 Vol.

Tom Begich
97%

Bernadette Wilson
76%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
70%

Dave Bronson
46%

Click Bishop
40%

Bill Walker
25%

Treg Taylor
18%

Shelley Hughes
4%

Matt Heilala
4%

Adam Crum
4%

Lesil McGuire
2%

Jessica Faircloth
2%

Hank Kroll
2%

Nancy Dahlstrom
1%

Edna DeVries
1%

Matt Claman
1%

Gregg Brelsford
1%

Destry J. Payne Sr.
1%

Bruce Walden
1%

James Parkin
<1%
$230,366 Vol.

Tom Begich
97%

Bernadette Wilson
76%

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
70%

Dave Bronson
46%

Click Bishop
40%

Bill Walker
25%

Treg Taylor
18%

Shelley Hughes
4%

Matt Heilala
4%

Adam Crum
4%

Lesil McGuire
2%

Jessica Faircloth
2%

Hank Kroll
2%

Nancy Dahlstrom
1%

Edna DeVries
1%

Matt Claman
1%

Gregg Brelsford
1%

Destry J. Payne Sr.
1%

Bruce Walden
1%

James Parkin
<1%
This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Mercado abierto: Dec 10, 2025, 4:11 PM ET
Resolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” If the listed candidate advances from the primary to the general election for Governor of Alaska. Otherwise this market will resolve to “No”.
If no 2026 Alaska gubernatorial primary takes place, this market will resolve to “No.”
This market will resolve based on the results of the primary election for Governor of Alaska as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the government of Alaska, specifically the State of Alaska Division of Elections.
Resolver
0x65070BE91...Alaska's August 18, 2026, nonpartisan top-four primary will select the finalists to succeed term-limited Governor Mike Dunleavy in a crowded field exceeding 18 candidates. Recent polling shows Democrat Tom Begich holding a lead, positioning him as the clearest frontrunner to advance, while Republican contenders including Dave Bronson, Nancy Dahlstrom, and Treg Taylor face tighter competition for the remaining slots. Market pricing reflects these trends amid the state's unique ranked-choice-style primary rules, where support consolidation and turnout in the final weeks could shift advancement probabilities. No major late-breaking events have altered the race since early summer polls, leaving candidate visibility, endorsements, and voter outreach as the primary drivers heading into election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado

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