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icon for Côte-du-Sud Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec
Política·Canadá

Côte-du-Sud Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec

icon for Côte-du-Sud Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec
Política·Canadá

Côte-du-Sud Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec

Valérie Hamel 46%

Mathieu Rivest 41%

Frédéric Poulin 20%

Nancy St-Pierre 3.5%

Polymarket
NUEVO

Valérie Hamel 46%

Mathieu Rivest 41%

Frédéric Poulin 20%

Nancy St-Pierre 3.5%

Polymarket
NUEVO
icon for Valérie Hamel

Valérie Hamel

$0 Vol.

46%

icon for Mathieu Rivest

Mathieu Rivest

$0 Vol.

41%

icon for Frédéric Poulin

Frédéric Poulin

$0 Vol.

20%

icon for Nancy St-Pierre

Nancy St-Pierre

$151 Vol.

4%

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Côte-du-Sud race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election, with Valérie Hamel of the Parti Québécois, incumbent Mathieu Rivest of the Coalition Avenir Québec, and Frédéric Poulin of the Parti Conservateur du Québec separated by narrow margins in recent riding-level projections. Hamel’s August 2026 nomination as a local nurse practitioner has bolstered PQ positioning on regional health services, while Rivest seeks re-election on his record and Poulin builds on the PCQ’s strong 2022 showing. Provincial polling trends showing the PQ and CAQ neck-and-neck, combined with a new electoral map and high undecided voter share, sustain the even split in trader consensus. Nancy St-Pierre of the Parti Libéral trails further back. Late-campaign events, turnout patterns in the Bas-Saint-Laurent and Chaudière-Appalaches areas, or shifts in third-party support could quickly alter the outcome.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$151
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).The Côte-du-Sud race remains tightly contested ahead of the October 5 Quebec general election, with Valérie Hamel of the Parti Québécois, incumbent Mathieu Rivest of the Coalition Avenir Québec, and Frédéric Poulin of the Parti Conservateur du Québec separated by narrow margins in recent riding-level projections. Hamel’s August 2026 nomination as a local nurse practitioner has bolstered PQ positioning on regional health services, while Rivest seeks re-election on his record and Poulin builds on the PCQ’s strong 2022 showing. Provincial polling trends showing the PQ and CAQ neck-and-neck, combined with a new electoral map and high undecided voter share, sustain the even split in trader consensus. Nancy St-Pierre of the Parti Libéral trails further back. Late-campaign events, turnout patterns in the Bas-Saint-Laurent and Chaudière-Appalaches areas, or shifts in third-party support could quickly alter the outcome.

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter.

If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".

The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).
Volumen
$151
Fecha de finalización
5 oct 2026
Mercado abierto
Aug 31, 2026, 3:46 PM ET

Fuente de resolución

https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/

Resolver

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Côte-du-Sud Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.

Preguntas frecuentes

"Côte-du-Sud Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" es un mercado de predicción en Polymarket con 4 resultados posibles donde los operadores compran y venden acciones según lo que creen que sucederá. El resultado líder actual es "Valérie Hamel" con 46%, seguido de "Mathieu Rivest" con 41%. Los precios reflejan probabilidades en tiempo real de la comunidad. Por ejemplo, una acción cotizada a 46¢ implica que el mercado colectivamente asigna una probabilidad de 46% a ese resultado. Estas probabilidades cambian continuamente a medida que los operadores reaccionan a nuevos desarrollos. Las acciones del resultado correcto son canjeables por $1 cada una tras la resolución del mercado.

"Côte-du-Sud Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" es un mercado recién creado en Polymarket, lanzado el Aug 31, 2026. Como mercado nuevo, esta es tu oportunidad de ser uno de los primeros operadores en establecer las probabilidades y las señales de precio iniciales del mercado. También puedes guardar esta página en marcadores para seguir el volumen y la actividad de trading a medida que el mercado gana tracción.

Para operar en "Côte-du-Sud Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec", explora los 4 resultados disponibles en esta página. Cada resultado muestra un precio actual que representa la probabilidad implícita del mercado. Para tomar una posición, selecciona el resultado que consideres más probable, elige "Sí" para operar a favor o "No" para operar en contra, introduce tu cantidad y haz clic en "Operar". Si tu resultado elegido es correcto cuando el mercado se resuelve, tus acciones de "Sí" pagan $1 cada una. Si es incorrecto, pagan $0. También puedes vender tus acciones en cualquier momento antes de la resolución.

El favorito actual para "Côte-du-Sud Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" es "Valérie Hamel" con 46%, lo que significa que el mercado asigna una probabilidad de 46% a ese resultado. El siguiente resultado más cercano es "Mathieu Rivest" con 41%. Estas probabilidades se actualizan en tiempo real a medida que los operadores compran y venden acciones. Vuelve con frecuencia o guarda esta página en marcadores.

Las reglas de resolución para "Côte-du-Sud Ganador de las elecciones a la Asamblea Nacional de Quebec" definen exactamente qué debe ocurrir para que cada resultado sea declarado ganador, incluyendo las fuentes de datos oficiales utilizadas para determinar el resultado. Puedes revisar los criterios de resolución completos en la sección "Reglas" en esta página sobre los comentarios. Recomendamos leer las reglas cuidadosamente antes de operar, ya que especifican las condiciones exactas, casos especiales y fuentes.