France's proposed 2026 United Left primary, intended to unify smaller left-wing groups including L'Après, Les Écologistes, and Debout! for a 2027 presidential contender, faces overwhelming trader consensus toward cancellation. Key factors include the confirmed non-participation of major forces such as the Socialist Party, La France Insoumise, and Place Publique, alongside post-March 2026 municipal election divisions that have prioritized separate strategies over coalition-building. Resolution criteria allow cancellation upon official announcement or withdrawal by multiple participating organizations, amplifying the probability amid limited scope and absent broader endorsement. Scenarios that could shift odds include renewed commitments from remaining parties to proceed on schedule despite fragmentation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCancelado 92.1%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Marine Tondelier <1%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$202,724 Vol.
$202,724 Vol.
11 oct 2026
Cancelado
92%
François Ruffin
1%
Marine Tondelier
1%
Clémentine Autain
1%
Lydie Massard
<1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
<1%
Cancelado 92.1%
François Ruffin 1.2%
Marine Tondelier <1%
Clémentine Autain <1%
$202,724 Vol.
$202,724 Vol.
11 oct 2026
Cancelado
$67,250 Vol.
92%
François Ruffin
$31,112 Vol.
1%
Marine Tondelier
$49,561 Vol.
1%
Clémentine Autain
$7,357 Vol.
1%
Lydie Massard
$43,228 Vol.
<1%
Benjamin Lucas-Lundy
$4,216 Vol.
<1%
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.France's proposed 2026 United Left primary, intended to unify smaller left-wing groups including L'Après, Les Écologistes, and Debout! for a 2027 presidential contender, faces overwhelming trader consensus toward cancellation. Key factors include the confirmed non-participation of major forces such as the Socialist Party, La France Insoumise, and Place Publique, alongside post-March 2026 municipal election divisions that have prioritized separate strategies over coalition-building. Resolution criteria allow cancellation upon official announcement or withdrawal by multiple participating organizations, amplifying the probability amid limited scope and absent broader endorsement. Scenarios that could shift odds include renewed commitments from remaining parties to proceed on schedule despite fragmentation.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Mercado abierto: May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ET
Volumen
$202,724Fecha de finalización
11 oct 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.France's proposed 2026 United Left primary, intended to unify smaller left-wing groups including L'Après, Les Écologistes, and Debout! for a 2027 presidential contender, faces overwhelming trader consensus toward cancellation. Key factors include the confirmed non-participation of major forces such as the Socialist Party, La France Insoumise, and Place Publique, alongside post-March 2026 municipal election divisions that have prioritized separate strategies over coalition-building. Resolution criteria allow cancellation upon official announcement or withdrawal by multiple participating organizations, amplifying the probability amid limited scope and absent broader endorsement. Scenarios that could shift odds include renewed commitments from remaining parties to proceed on schedule despite fragmentation.
The 2026 United Left primary is currently scheduled to be held on October 11, 2026, to select a joint candidate for the 2027 French presidential election among participating left-wing parties and movements.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination as a joint candidate of the participating left-wing parties and movements as a result of this election.
This market will resolve to “Canceled” if the organizers of the 2026 United Left primary officially announce that it will not take place, or if at least three of L’Après, Les Écologistes, Debout!, and Génération.s officially announce that they will not participate. A postponement of the scheduled date will not qualify.
If no qualifying nominee is announced by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In the case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on official announcements from the primary organizers or participating parties.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Volumen
$202,724Fecha de finalización
11 oct 2026Mercado abierto
May 5, 2026, 7:44 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...France's proposed 2026 United Left primary, intended to unify smaller left-wing groups including L'Après, Les Écologistes, and Debout! for a 2027 presidential contender, faces overwhelming trader consensus toward cancellation. Key factors include the confirmed non-participation of major forces such as the Socialist Party, La France Insoumise, and Place Publique, alongside post-March 2026 municipal election divisions that have prioritized separate strategies over coalition-building. Resolution criteria allow cancellation upon official announcement or withdrawal by multiple participating organizations, amplifying the probability amid limited scope and absent broader endorsement. Scenarios that could shift odds include renewed commitments from remaining parties to proceed on schedule despite fragmentation.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoRelacionado
¿Ganará Boris Vallaud la nominación del Partido Socialista para disputar las elecciones presidenciales francesas de 2027?
39%
Sí
Will Raphaël Glucksmann announce their candidacy for the 2027 French presidential election in 2026?
76%
¿Ganará Marine Le Pen las elecciones presidenciales francesas de 2027?
31%
Sí
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes