Washington's 7th congressional district, centered in Seattle, maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in repeated high vote shares for the party in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 83.9% win in 2024. The August 2026 top-two primary reinforced this pattern, with Pramila Jayapal securing over 83% of the vote against Republican Nirav Sheth, who advanced to the November general alongside her. Multiple nonpartisan rating organizations classify the race as safe or solid Democratic. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 94.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with historical margins and registration patterns. A late scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan swing would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWA-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
WA-07 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$32,398 Vol.
$32,398 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
3%
$32,398 Vol.
$32,398 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$10,441 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$21,957 Vol.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 7th congressional district, centered in Seattle, maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in repeated high vote shares for the party in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 83.9% win in 2024. The August 2026 top-two primary reinforced this pattern, with Pramila Jayapal securing over 83% of the vote against Republican Nirav Sheth, who advanced to the November general alongside her. Multiple nonpartisan rating organizations classify the race as safe or solid Democratic. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 94.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with historical margins and registration patterns. A late scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan swing would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$32,398Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Washington's 7th congressional district, centered in Seattle, maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in repeated high vote shares for the party in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 83.9% win in 2024. The August 2026 top-two primary reinforced this pattern, with Pramila Jayapal securing over 83% of the vote against Republican Nirav Sheth, who advanced to the November general alongside her. Multiple nonpartisan rating organizations classify the race as safe or solid Democratic. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 94.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with historical margins and registration patterns. A late scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan swing would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$32,398Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Washington's 7th congressional district, centered in Seattle, maintains a strong Democratic lean reflected in repeated high vote shares for the party in recent cycles, including the incumbent's 83.9% win in 2024. The August 2026 top-two primary reinforced this pattern, with Pramila Jayapal securing over 83% of the vote against Republican Nirav Sheth, who advanced to the November general alongside her. Multiple nonpartisan rating organizations classify the race as safe or solid Democratic. Traders assign the Democratic nominee a 94.5% implied probability of victory, consistent with historical margins and registration patterns. A late scandal, health development affecting the incumbent, or an unprecedented national partisan swing would be required to meaningfully shift the outcome before Election Day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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