Democratic incumbent Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a strong position heading into the November general election in Washington's 3rd district after advancing from the August 4 top-two primary alongside Republican state Sen. John Braun. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+2 makes it one of the nation's most competitive seats, yet Perez's 2024 reelection victory in a Trump-won area and her established fundraising and name recognition contribute to trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, with recent Emerson polling showing the candidates essentially tied ahead of the general. The primary results narrowed the field to this matchup, limiting volatility while highlighting Perez's incumbency edge in a low-turnout environment where swing voters and base mobilization will decide the result.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoWA-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
WA-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$27,021 Vol.
$27,021 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
88%
Partido Republicano
11%
$27,021 Vol.
$27,021 Vol.
4 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$17,328 Vol.
88%
Partido Republicano
$9,693 Vol.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a strong position heading into the November general election in Washington's 3rd district after advancing from the August 4 top-two primary alongside Republican state Sen. John Braun. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+2 makes it one of the nation's most competitive seats, yet Perez's 2024 reelection victory in a Trump-won area and her established fundraising and name recognition contribute to trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, with recent Emerson polling showing the candidates essentially tied ahead of the general. The primary results narrowed the field to this matchup, limiting volatility while highlighting Perez's incumbency edge in a low-turnout environment where swing voters and base mobilization will decide the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volumen
$27,021Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Democratic incumbent Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a strong position heading into the November general election in Washington's 3rd district after advancing from the August 4 top-two primary alongside Republican state Sen. John Braun. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+2 makes it one of the nation's most competitive seats, yet Perez's 2024 reelection victory in a Trump-won area and her established fundraising and name recognition contribute to trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, with recent Emerson polling showing the candidates essentially tied ahead of the general. The primary results narrowed the field to this matchup, limiting volatility while highlighting Perez's incumbency edge in a low-turnout environment where swing voters and base mobilization will decide the result.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the WA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$27,021Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Marie Gluesenkamp Perez holds a strong position heading into the November general election in Washington's 3rd district after advancing from the August 4 top-two primary alongside Republican state Sen. John Braun. The district's Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+2 makes it one of the nation's most competitive seats, yet Perez's 2024 reelection victory in a Trump-won area and her established fundraising and name recognition contribute to trader consensus favoring the Democratic outcome. Forecasters rate the race a toss-up or lean Democratic, with recent Emerson polling showing the candidates essentially tied ahead of the general. The primary results narrowed the field to this matchup, limiting volatility while highlighting Perez's incumbency edge in a low-turnout environment where swing voters and base mobilization will decide the result.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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