Redistricting enacted in May 2026 removed heavily Democratic portions of Davidson County from Tennessee’s 5th District, shifting the seat’s partisan voting index to R+10 and prompting nonpartisan analysts to rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Andy Ogles (R) now faces a less competitive general-election environment against Democratic primary contenders, including Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder. Both major forecasters and the current market pricing reflect this structural advantage, with the Republican nominee expected to benefit from the district’s altered geography and Tennessee’s broader Republican tilt in midterm cycles. Primaries scheduled for August 6 remain the next key procedural step before the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTN-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TN-05 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$28,661 Vol.
$28,661 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
76%
Partido Demócrata
22%
$28,661 Vol.
$28,661 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$13,550 Vol.
76%
Partido Demócrata
$15,111 Vol.
22%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting enacted in May 2026 removed heavily Democratic portions of Davidson County from Tennessee’s 5th District, shifting the seat’s partisan voting index to R+10 and prompting nonpartisan analysts to rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Andy Ogles (R) now faces a less competitive general-election environment against Democratic primary contenders, including Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder. Both major forecasters and the current market pricing reflect this structural advantage, with the Republican nominee expected to benefit from the district’s altered geography and Tennessee’s broader Republican tilt in midterm cycles. Primaries scheduled for August 6 remain the next key procedural step before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$28,661Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Redistricting enacted in May 2026 removed heavily Democratic portions of Davidson County from Tennessee’s 5th District, shifting the seat’s partisan voting index to R+10 and prompting nonpartisan analysts to rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Andy Ogles (R) now faces a less competitive general-election environment against Democratic primary contenders, including Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder. Both major forecasters and the current market pricing reflect this structural advantage, with the Republican nominee expected to benefit from the district’s altered geography and Tennessee’s broader Republican tilt in midterm cycles. Primaries scheduled for August 6 remain the next key procedural step before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$28,661Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Redistricting enacted in May 2026 removed heavily Democratic portions of Davidson County from Tennessee’s 5th District, shifting the seat’s partisan voting index to R+10 and prompting nonpartisan analysts to rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. Incumbent Andy Ogles (R) now faces a less competitive general-election environment against Democratic primary contenders, including Columbia Mayor Chaz Molder. Both major forecasters and the current market pricing reflect this structural advantage, with the Republican nominee expected to benefit from the district’s altered geography and Tennessee’s broader Republican tilt in midterm cycles. Primaries scheduled for August 6 remain the next key procedural step before the November general election.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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