Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett secured the party nomination in the August 6 primary for Tennessee’s 2nd Congressional District, a Knoxville-centered seat rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by other forecasters. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including Burchett’s 69 percent general-election margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus around a 93.5 percent probability for the Republican nominee. Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett faces structural headwinds in a district with an established R+17 partisan lean. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain limited to an unforeseen national Democratic surge or a major personal or ethical issue affecting the incumbent before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTN-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TN-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$29,043 Vol.
$29,043 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
6%
$29,043 Vol.
$29,043 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$19,335 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$9,708 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett secured the party nomination in the August 6 primary for Tennessee’s 2nd Congressional District, a Knoxville-centered seat rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by other forecasters. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including Burchett’s 69 percent general-election margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus around a 93.5 percent probability for the Republican nominee. Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett faces structural headwinds in a district with an established R+17 partisan lean. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain limited to an unforeseen national Democratic surge or a major personal or ethical issue affecting the incumbent before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$29,043Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett secured the party nomination in the August 6 primary for Tennessee’s 2nd Congressional District, a Knoxville-centered seat rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by other forecasters. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including Burchett’s 69 percent general-election margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus around a 93.5 percent probability for the Republican nominee. Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett faces structural headwinds in a district with an established R+17 partisan lean. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain limited to an unforeseen national Democratic surge or a major personal or ethical issue affecting the incumbent before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$29,043Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Tim Burchett secured the party nomination in the August 6 primary for Tennessee’s 2nd Congressional District, a Knoxville-centered seat rated Solid Republican by the Cook Political Report and Safe Republican by other forecasters. The district’s consistent Republican performance, including Burchett’s 69 percent general-election margin in 2024, underpins trader consensus around a 93.5 percent probability for the Republican nominee. Democratic nominee Michaela Barnett faces structural headwinds in a district with an established R+17 partisan lean. Late developments that could narrow the gap remain limited to an unforeseen national Democratic surge or a major personal or ethical issue affecting the incumbent before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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