Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its D+18 partisan voting index and urban-suburban composition across Hampton Roads. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who secured 70 percent in the prior cycle, advanced unopposed through the August 4 primary on the post-redistricting map, while the Republican nominee faces limited resources and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data suggesting an upset. Scenarios that could still shift odds include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political wave altering turnout patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoVA-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
VA-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$63,234 Vol.
$63,234 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bobby Scott (D)
96%
Edwin Rivera (R)
4%
$63,234 Vol.
$63,234 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Bobby Scott (D)
$21,571 Vol.
96%
Edwin Rivera (R)
$41,664 Vol.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its D+18 partisan voting index and urban-suburban composition across Hampton Roads. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who secured 70 percent in the prior cycle, advanced unopposed through the August 4 primary on the post-redistricting map, while the Republican nominee faces limited resources and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data suggesting an upset. Scenarios that could still shift odds include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political wave altering turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$63,234Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its D+18 partisan voting index and urban-suburban composition across Hampton Roads. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who secured 70 percent in the prior cycle, advanced unopposed through the August 4 primary on the post-redistricting map, while the Republican nominee faces limited resources and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data suggesting an upset. Scenarios that could still shift odds include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political wave altering turnout patterns.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$63,234Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Virginia's 3rd congressional district maintains a consistent Democratic advantage rooted in its D+18 partisan voting index and urban-suburban composition across Hampton Roads. Incumbent Representative Bobby Scott, who secured 70 percent in the prior cycle, advanced unopposed through the August 4 primary on the post-redistricting map, while the Republican nominee faces limited resources and visibility. Nonpartisan forecasters uniformly classify the seat as Solid or Safe Democratic ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus at 96 percent for the Democratic nominee reflects these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling or fundraising data suggesting an upset. Scenarios that could still shift odds include late-breaking scandals, health events affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political wave altering turnout patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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