Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott holds a strong position in Virginia's 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, with primary contests set for August 4. The seat carries a D+18 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results, and independent ratings classify it as solid or safe Democratic. Limited Republican opposition, including candidate Edwin Rivera, has not altered this outlook. Traders' consensus pricing aligns with the district's consistent partisan patterns and the incumbent's established record. Shifts could occur from national political swings, primary surprises, or turnout changes, though structural factors make such developments unlikely to overcome the current margin.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoVA-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
VA-03 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$35,435 Vol.
$35,435 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
7%
$35,435 Vol.
$35,435 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$20,078 Vol.
94%
Partido Republicano
$15,357 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott holds a strong position in Virginia's 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, with primary contests set for August 4. The seat carries a D+18 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results, and independent ratings classify it as solid or safe Democratic. Limited Republican opposition, including candidate Edwin Rivera, has not altered this outlook. Traders' consensus pricing aligns with the district's consistent partisan patterns and the incumbent's established record. Shifts could occur from national political swings, primary surprises, or turnout changes, though structural factors make such developments unlikely to overcome the current margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Volumen
$35,435Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott holds a strong position in Virginia's 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, with primary contests set for August 4. The seat carries a D+18 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results, and independent ratings classify it as solid or safe Democratic. Limited Republican opposition, including candidate Edwin Rivera, has not altered this outlook. Traders' consensus pricing aligns with the district's consistent partisan patterns and the incumbent's established record. Shifts could occur from national political swings, primary surprises, or turnout changes, though structural factors make such developments unlikely to overcome the current margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$35,435Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Bobby Scott holds a strong position in Virginia's 3rd congressional district ahead of the November 2026 general election, with primary contests set for August 4. The seat carries a D+18 Partisan Voter Index based on recent presidential results, and independent ratings classify it as solid or safe Democratic. Limited Republican opposition, including candidate Edwin Rivera, has not altered this outlook. Traders' consensus pricing aligns with the district's consistent partisan patterns and the incumbent's established record. Shifts could occur from national political swings, primary surprises, or turnout changes, though structural factors make such developments unlikely to overcome the current margin.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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