Tennessee’s 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 general election, with the open contest created by incumbent John Rose’s gubernatorial bid. Redistricting completed in May 2026 further strengthened the district’s partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13 to R+17 and Donald Trump’s 27-point margin in the redrawn lines. Multiple Republican primary candidates, including state Rep. Johnny Garrett and former U.S. Rep. Van Hilleary, compete for the nomination on August 6, while Democratic contenders face structural disadvantages in a district that has consistently delivered strong GOP margins. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A national Democratic wave, unusually low Republican turnout, or late primary controversies could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from recent voting patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTN-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Demócrata
7%
Partido Republicano
93%
Partido Demócrata
7%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee’s 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat heading into the 2026 general election, with the open contest created by incumbent John Rose’s gubernatorial bid. Redistricting completed in May 2026 further strengthened the district’s partisan lean, reflected in a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13 to R+17 and Donald Trump’s 27-point margin in the redrawn lines. Multiple Republican primary candidates, including state Rep. Johnny Garrett and former U.S. Rep. Van Hilleary, compete for the nomination on August 6, while Democratic contenders face structural disadvantages in a district that has consistently delivered strong GOP margins. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican. A national Democratic wave, unusually low Republican turnout, or late primary controversies could narrow the gap, though such shifts would require substantial deviation from recent voting patterns.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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