Tennessee's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with the open race—vacated by Rep. John Rose's gubernatorial bid—drawing a PVI of R+13 and a 27-point Trump margin under the current map. State Rep. Johnny Garrett's August 6 primary victory over Van Hilleary and others positions him as the general election nominee against Democrat Mike Croley, with forecasters rating the contest Solid or Safe Republican. The district's consistent partisan lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and Garrett's state legislative profile and endorsements sustain trader consensus around a Republican win. A major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical results and current conditions indicate limited pathways for such shifts before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTN-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TN-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$12,303 Vol.
$12,303 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
7%
$12,303 Vol.
$12,303 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$8,356 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$3,947 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with the open race—vacated by Rep. John Rose's gubernatorial bid—drawing a PVI of R+13 and a 27-point Trump margin under the current map. State Rep. Johnny Garrett's August 6 primary victory over Van Hilleary and others positions him as the general election nominee against Democrat Mike Croley, with forecasters rating the contest Solid or Safe Republican. The district's consistent partisan lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and Garrett's state legislative profile and endorsements sustain trader consensus around a Republican win. A major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical results and current conditions indicate limited pathways for such shifts before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$12,303Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with the open race—vacated by Rep. John Rose's gubernatorial bid—drawing a PVI of R+13 and a 27-point Trump margin under the current map. State Rep. Johnny Garrett's August 6 primary victory over Van Hilleary and others positions him as the general election nominee against Democrat Mike Croley, with forecasters rating the contest Solid or Safe Republican. The district's consistent partisan lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and Garrett's state legislative profile and endorsements sustain trader consensus around a Republican win. A major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical results and current conditions indicate limited pathways for such shifts before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$12,303Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 6th congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, with the open race—vacated by Rep. John Rose's gubernatorial bid—drawing a PVI of R+13 and a 27-point Trump margin under the current map. State Rep. Johnny Garrett's August 6 primary victory over Van Hilleary and others positions him as the general election nominee against Democrat Mike Croley, with forecasters rating the contest Solid or Safe Republican. The district's consistent partisan lean, limited Democratic infrastructure, and Garrett's state legislative profile and endorsements sustain trader consensus around a Republican win. A major scandal, health event, or unprecedented national Democratic wave could theoretically narrow the gap, though historical results and current conditions indicate limited pathways for such shifts before November 3.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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