Tennessee’s 6th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following 2026 redistricting, with the area posting a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13 and Donald Trump carrying the lines by 27 points in the prior cycle. Incumbent John Rose’s retirement to pursue the governorship created an open-seat contest, yet Republican state Representative Johnny Garrett prevailed in the August 6 primary and now faces Democrat Mike Croley in the November general election. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 93.5 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan baseline, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of any recent polling or events that would indicate a competitive race. A late-breaking scandal involving the Republican nominee or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though both outcomes would represent significant departures from established patterns in the district.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoTN-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
TN-06 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$12,303 Vol.
$12,303 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
7%
$12,303 Vol.
$12,303 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$8,356 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$3,947 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee’s 6th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following 2026 redistricting, with the area posting a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13 and Donald Trump carrying the lines by 27 points in the prior cycle. Incumbent John Rose’s retirement to pursue the governorship created an open-seat contest, yet Republican state Representative Johnny Garrett prevailed in the August 6 primary and now faces Democrat Mike Croley in the November general election. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 93.5 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan baseline, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of any recent polling or events that would indicate a competitive race. A late-breaking scandal involving the Republican nominee or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though both outcomes would represent significant departures from established patterns in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volumen
$12,303Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Tennessee’s 6th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following 2026 redistricting, with the area posting a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13 and Donald Trump carrying the lines by 27 points in the prior cycle. Incumbent John Rose’s retirement to pursue the governorship created an open-seat contest, yet Republican state Representative Johnny Garrett prevailed in the August 6 primary and now faces Democrat Mike Croley in the November general election. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 93.5 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan baseline, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of any recent polling or events that would indicate a competitive race. A late-breaking scandal involving the Republican nominee or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though both outcomes would represent significant departures from established patterns in the district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$12,303Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee’s 6th congressional district remains a strongly Republican-leaning seat following 2026 redistricting, with the area posting a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+13 and Donald Trump carrying the lines by 27 points in the prior cycle. Incumbent John Rose’s retirement to pursue the governorship created an open-seat contest, yet Republican state Representative Johnny Garrett prevailed in the August 6 primary and now faces Democrat Mike Croley in the November general election. Traders assign the Republican nominee a 93.5 percent implied probability of victory, reflecting the district’s consistent partisan baseline, limited Democratic infrastructure, and the absence of any recent polling or events that would indicate a competitive race. A late-breaking scandal involving the Republican nominee or an unforeseen national Democratic surge could narrow the margin, though both outcomes would represent significant departures from established patterns in the district.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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