Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican Eric Conroy, who won his primary with former President Trump's endorsement. The district's October 2025 redistricting added rural southwest Ohio counties, shifting its partisan voting index toward Republicans and creating a toss-up environment per major forecasters. Despite this, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 73.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting Landsman's established incumbency, name recognition in the Cincinnati area, and historical performance in the prior configuration. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger amid ongoing campaign focus on economic and local issues.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoGanador de las elecciones de la Cámara OH-01
Partido Demócrata
76%
Partido Republicano
28%
Partido Demócrata
76%
Partido Republicano
28%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary and faces Republican Eric Conroy, who won his primary with former President Trump's endorsement. The district's October 2025 redistricting added rural southwest Ohio counties, shifting its partisan voting index toward Republicans and creating a toss-up environment per major forecasters. Despite this, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 73.5% implied probability of victory, reflecting Landsman's established incumbency, name recognition in the Cincinnati area, and historical performance in the prior configuration. The November 3 general election remains the resolution trigger amid ongoing campaign focus on economic and local issues.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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