The rematch in Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District pits Democratic nominee Elaine Luria against Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans in a military-heavy Hampton Roads seat with a D+3 partisan lean. Luria’s decisive August 4 primary victory, strong fundraising edge, and early endorsements have consolidated Democratic support ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent July polling showed the candidates initially tied before Luria gained a narrow lead after voter information exposure, while President Trump’s unfavorable ratings in the district have weighed on Republican positioning. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 81.5% implied probability, reflecting Luria’s name recognition from her prior tenure and the district’s competitive fundamentals, though Kiggans’s incumbency and veteran background keep the Republican outcome live at 18%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoVA-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
VA-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$41,911 Vol.
$41,911 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
82%
Partido Republicano
18%
$41,911 Vol.
$41,911 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Demócrata
$18,659 Vol.
82%
Partido Republicano
$23,253 Vol.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The rematch in Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District pits Democratic nominee Elaine Luria against Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans in a military-heavy Hampton Roads seat with a D+3 partisan lean. Luria’s decisive August 4 primary victory, strong fundraising edge, and early endorsements have consolidated Democratic support ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent July polling showed the candidates initially tied before Luria gained a narrow lead after voter information exposure, while President Trump’s unfavorable ratings in the district have weighed on Republican positioning. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 81.5% implied probability, reflecting Luria’s name recognition from her prior tenure and the district’s competitive fundamentals, though Kiggans’s incumbency and veteran background keep the Republican outcome live at 18%.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Volumen
$41,911Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The rematch in Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District pits Democratic nominee Elaine Luria against Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans in a military-heavy Hampton Roads seat with a D+3 partisan lean. Luria’s decisive August 4 primary victory, strong fundraising edge, and early endorsements have consolidated Democratic support ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent July polling showed the candidates initially tied before Luria gained a narrow lead after voter information exposure, while President Trump’s unfavorable ratings in the district have weighed on Republican positioning. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 81.5% implied probability, reflecting Luria’s name recognition from her prior tenure and the district’s competitive fundamentals, though Kiggans’s incumbency and veteran background keep the Republican outcome live at 18%.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$41,911Fecha de finalización
4 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The rematch in Virginia’s 2nd Congressional District pits Democratic nominee Elaine Luria against Republican incumbent Jen Kiggans in a military-heavy Hampton Roads seat with a D+3 partisan lean. Luria’s decisive August 4 primary victory, strong fundraising edge, and early endorsements have consolidated Democratic support ahead of the November 3 general election. Recent July polling showed the candidates initially tied before Luria gained a narrow lead after voter information exposure, while President Trump’s unfavorable ratings in the district have weighed on Republican positioning. Traders assign the Democratic Party an 81.5% implied probability, reflecting Luria’s name recognition from her prior tenure and the district’s competitive fundamentals, though Kiggans’s incumbency and veteran background keep the Republican outcome live at 18%.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
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