Democratic incumbent Joe Neguse holds a commanding position in Colorado's 2nd congressional district, reflected in the 93.5% Democratic outcome price. The seat carries a D+20 partisan voting index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, reinforced by Neguse's fundraising edge and role as assistant House minority leader. Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with limited visibility ahead of the June 30 primaries. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though the district's structural advantages and absence of competitive opposition sustain the wide probability differential.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCO-02 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$30,967 Vol.
$30,967 Vol.
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
5%
$30,967 Vol.
$30,967 Vol.
Partido Demócrata
94%
Partido Republicano
5%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:30 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Democratic incumbent Joe Neguse holds a commanding position in Colorado's 2nd congressional district, reflected in the 93.5% Democratic outcome price. The seat carries a D+20 partisan voting index and has delivered consistent Democratic margins exceeding 30 points in recent cycles, reinforced by Neguse's fundraising edge and role as assistant House minority leader. Republican primary contenders remain low-profile with limited visibility ahead of the June 30 primaries. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Democratic. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unanticipated national partisan shift could narrow the gap, though the district's structural advantages and absence of competitive opposition sustain the wide probability differential.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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