The Lima mayoral race remains fragmented ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent polls showing a tight contest among Carlos Bruce, Francis Allison, Daniel Urresti, and Luis Rubio. Multiple candidates from smaller parties have split voter preferences, producing technical ties in intention surveys and limiting any single contender's lead. Candidate inscriptions closed in mid-2026 after several withdrawals, further dispersing support across roughly two dozen options. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with no outcome exceeding low-30s implied probability. Upcoming polling releases, candidate debates, or last-minute alliances could consolidate backing and shift momentum before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoCarlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 32%
Francis James Allison Oyague 25%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera 23%
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo 13%
$25,487 Vol.
$25,487 Vol.

Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
32%

Francis James Allison Oyague
25%

Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera
23%

Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo
13%

Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
6%

Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza
4%

Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar
3%

Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué
3%

Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega
3%

Santiago Rosendo Abarca León
2%

Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino
2%

Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra
2%

Jessica Viviana Linares Romero
2%

Samuel Marcos Daza Taype
1%

Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay
1%

Flor de María Hurtado Valdez
1%

Sandro Caller Gutiérrez
1%

Rubén José Ramírez Mateo
1%

Samir Frank Quispe Caballero
1%

Segundo Valdez Zavala
1%

Yehude Simón Munaro
1%

Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés
1%
Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca 32%
Francis James Allison Oyague 25%
Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera 23%
Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo 13%
$25,487 Vol.
$25,487 Vol.

Carlos Ricardo Bruce Montes de Oca
32%

Francis James Allison Oyague
25%

Daniel Belizario Urresti Elera
23%

Luis Isael Rubio Idrogo
13%

Ricardo Pablo Belmont Cassinelli
6%

Rubén Daniel Bonilla Espinoza
4%

Oswaldo Hernán Vargas Cuéllar
3%

Susel Ana María Paredes Piqué
3%

Carlos Alberto Tejada Noriega
3%

Santiago Rosendo Abarca León
2%

Luis Alberto Huette Tolentino
2%

Edgardo Renán De Pomar Vizcarra
2%

Jessica Viviana Linares Romero
2%

Samuel Marcos Daza Taype
1%

Elizabeth María del Rosario León Chinchay
1%

Flor de María Hurtado Valdez
1%

Sandro Caller Gutiérrez
1%

Rubén José Ramírez Mateo
1%

Samir Frank Quispe Caballero
1%

Segundo Valdez Zavala
1%

Yehude Simón Munaro
1%

Victoria Betzabé La Cruz Garcés
1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Mercado abierto: Jul 24, 2026, 11:54 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of Lima as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to official information from the Peruvian government, including the National Jury of Elections (Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, JNE, https://jne.gob.pe) and the National Office of Electoral Processes (Oficina Nacional de Procesos Electorales, ONPE, https://www.onpe.gob.pe/).
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Lima mayoral race remains fragmented ahead of the October 2026 vote, with recent polls showing a tight contest among Carlos Bruce, Francis Allison, Daniel Urresti, and Luis Rubio. Multiple candidates from smaller parties have split voter preferences, producing technical ties in intention surveys and limiting any single contender's lead. Candidate inscriptions closed in mid-2026 after several withdrawals, further dispersing support across roughly two dozen options. Trader pricing reflects this uncertainty, with no outcome exceeding low-30s implied probability. Upcoming polling releases, candidate debates, or last-minute alliances could consolidate backing and shift momentum before election day.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado



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