Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida’s 28th congressional district race, reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. The district’s Republican tilt, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting that expanded the state’s GOP-leaning map, combines with Giménez’s 2024 reelection margin and recent polling averages showing double-digit leads over Democrat Phil Ehr. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing the incumbent’s established support, limited Democratic primary competition, and the absence of major recent developments that would shift fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-breaking scandals, health events, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in a national wave could still alter the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFL-28 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
FL-28 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$57,564 Vol.
$57,564 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
94%
Partido Demócrata
6%
$57,564 Vol.
$57,564 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$33,834 Vol.
94%
Partido Demócrata
$23,731 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida’s 28th congressional district race, reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. The district’s Republican tilt, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting that expanded the state’s GOP-leaning map, combines with Giménez’s 2024 reelection margin and recent polling averages showing double-digit leads over Democrat Phil Ehr. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing the incumbent’s established support, limited Democratic primary competition, and the absence of major recent developments that would shift fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-breaking scandals, health events, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in a national wave could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volumen
$57,564Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida’s 28th congressional district race, reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. The district’s Republican tilt, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting that expanded the state’s GOP-leaning map, combines with Giménez’s 2024 reelection margin and recent polling averages showing double-digit leads over Democrat Phil Ehr. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing the incumbent’s established support, limited Democratic primary competition, and the absence of major recent developments that would shift fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-breaking scandals, health events, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in a national wave could still alter the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$57,564Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Carlos Giménez holds a commanding position in Florida’s 28th congressional district race, reflected in the 93.5% implied probability for the Republican nominee. The district’s Republican tilt, reinforced by mid-decade redistricting that expanded the state’s GOP-leaning map, combines with Giménez’s 2024 reelection margin and recent polling averages showing double-digit leads over Democrat Phil Ehr. Forecasters rate the contest Solid or Safe Republican, citing the incumbent’s established support, limited Democratic primary competition, and the absence of major recent developments that would shift fundamentals ahead of the November 3 general election. Late-breaking scandals, health events, or unusually strong Democratic turnout in a national wave could still alter the outcome.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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