Florida's 28th congressional district favors the Republican Party due to its partisan lean and the strength of incumbent Carlos Giménez, who secured 64.6% of the vote in 2024 and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 18, 2026, contest. Recent state redistricting, signed into law in May 2026 and upheld by a court ruling, shifted the map further toward Republicans, projecting a 24–4 statewide advantage and rating the seat Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Democratic primary contenders including Phil Ehr and Hector Mujica trail significantly in early polling, with no major developments altering the competitive balance in the past month. The general election on November 3, 2026, remains the key resolution point for traders assessing these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFL-28 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
FL-28 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
90%
Partido Demócrata
9%
NUEVO
NUEVO
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$2,305 Vol.
90%
Partido Demócrata
$7,693 Vol.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 28th congressional district favors the Republican Party due to its partisan lean and the strength of incumbent Carlos Giménez, who secured 64.6% of the vote in 2024 and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 18, 2026, contest. Recent state redistricting, signed into law in May 2026 and upheld by a court ruling, shifted the map further toward Republicans, projecting a 24–4 statewide advantage and rating the seat Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Democratic primary contenders including Phil Ehr and Hector Mujica trail significantly in early polling, with no major developments altering the competitive balance in the past month. The general election on November 3, 2026, remains the key resolution point for traders assessing these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Volumen
$9,998Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Florida's 28th congressional district favors the Republican Party due to its partisan lean and the strength of incumbent Carlos Giménez, who secured 64.6% of the vote in 2024 and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 18, 2026, contest. Recent state redistricting, signed into law in May 2026 and upheld by a court ruling, shifted the map further toward Republicans, projecting a 24–4 statewide advantage and rating the seat Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Democratic primary contenders including Phil Ehr and Hector Mujica trail significantly in early polling, with no major developments altering the competitive balance in the past month. The general election on November 3, 2026, remains the key resolution point for traders assessing these probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-28 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$9,998Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Florida's 28th congressional district favors the Republican Party due to its partisan lean and the strength of incumbent Carlos Giménez, who secured 64.6% of the vote in 2024 and faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 18, 2026, contest. Recent state redistricting, signed into law in May 2026 and upheld by a court ruling, shifted the map further toward Republicans, projecting a 24–4 statewide advantage and rating the seat Solid Republican by multiple forecasters. Democratic primary contenders including Phil Ehr and Hector Mujica trail significantly in early polling, with no major developments altering the competitive balance in the past month. The general election on November 3, 2026, remains the key resolution point for traders assessing these probabilities.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
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