The Republican Party holds a 70.5% implied probability in the FL-27 House race, reflecting the district’s R+6 partisan voting index and incumbent Maria Elvira Salazar’s consistent performance, including her 60.4% victory in 2024. Florida’s April 2026 redistricting, enacted by the Republican-controlled legislature and upheld by court ruling for use in November, produced a statewide map favoring a 24-4 GOP delegation and preserved competitive but Republican-leaning lines in South Florida districts like FL-27. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican, citing Salazar’s primary strength and limited Democratic general-election momentum despite a crowded August primary field. The November 3 general election timeline leaves little room for late developments to alter the current trader consensus before ballots are cast.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · ActualizadoFL-27 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
FL-27 Ganador de las elecciones de la Cámara
$13,167 Vol.
$13,167 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
71%
Partido Demócrata
30%
$13,167 Vol.
$13,167 Vol.
3 nov 2026
Partido Republicano
$5,661 Vol.
71%
Partido Demócrata
$7,506 Vol.
30%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a 70.5% implied probability in the FL-27 House race, reflecting the district’s R+6 partisan voting index and incumbent Maria Elvira Salazar’s consistent performance, including her 60.4% victory in 2024. Florida’s April 2026 redistricting, enacted by the Republican-controlled legislature and upheld by court ruling for use in November, produced a statewide map favoring a 24-4 GOP delegation and preserved competitive but Republican-leaning lines in South Florida districts like FL-27. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican, citing Salazar’s primary strength and limited Democratic general-election momentum despite a crowded August primary field. The November 3 general election timeline leaves little room for late developments to alter the current trader consensus before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercado abierto: Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ET
Volumen
$13,167Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a 70.5% implied probability in the FL-27 House race, reflecting the district’s R+6 partisan voting index and incumbent Maria Elvira Salazar’s consistent performance, including her 60.4% victory in 2024. Florida’s April 2026 redistricting, enacted by the Republican-controlled legislature and upheld by court ruling for use in November, produced a statewide map favoring a 24-4 GOP delegation and preserved competitive but Republican-leaning lines in South Florida districts like FL-27. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican, citing Salazar’s primary strength and limited Democratic general-election momentum despite a crowded August primary field. The November 3 general election timeline leaves little room for late developments to alter the current trader consensus before ballots are cast.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-27 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volumen
$13,167Fecha de finalización
3 nov 2026Mercado abierto
Jan 28, 2026, 10:58 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party holds a 70.5% implied probability in the FL-27 House race, reflecting the district’s R+6 partisan voting index and incumbent Maria Elvira Salazar’s consistent performance, including her 60.4% victory in 2024. Florida’s April 2026 redistricting, enacted by the Republican-controlled legislature and upheld by court ruling for use in November, produced a statewide map favoring a 24-4 GOP delegation and preserved competitive but Republican-leaning lines in South Florida districts like FL-27. Forecasters rate the contest Likely Republican, citing Salazar’s primary strength and limited Democratic general-election momentum despite a crowded August primary field. The November 3 general election timeline leaves little room for late developments to alter the current trader consensus before ballots are cast.
Resumen experimental generado por IA con datos de Polymarket. Esto no es asesoramiento de trading y no influye en cómo se resuelve este mercado. · Actualizado
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Cuidado con los enlaces externos.
Preguntas frecuentes